Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newbuildings vs Crumlin Star

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crumlin Star in this Irish Cup 2013/2014 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Newbuildings
15%
Draws
57%
Crumlin Star
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crumlin Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crumlin Star lately — more wins on the board than Newbuildings.
  • Crumlin Star are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Crumlin Star arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Crumlin Star, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Newbuildings Clean Sheet 10%
Crumlin Star Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newbuildings Crumlin Star
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 8 22
Draws 1 0
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.14 2.42
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2013 Irish Cup
Newbuildings vs Crumlin Star
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newbuildings 18 / 100
Crumlin Star 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newbuildings Crumlin Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crumlin Star Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newbuildings scored in 90% of their last 21 games.

Defensive concern: Crumlin Star conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Crumlin Star's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Newbuildings VS Crumlin Star
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Newbuildings

(Home)
11 Jul
Newbuildings
2 : 5
Coleraine
22 Nov
Newbuildings
1 : 2
Moyola
05 Jul
Newbuildings
1 : 7
Linfield
28 Sept
Dunmurry Rec
3 : 2
Newbuildings
17 Aug
Holywood
1 : 4
Newbuildings
Page 1 of 5

Crumlin Star

(Away)
06 Jan
Institute
2 : 0
Crumlin Star
25 Dec
Crumlin Star
2 : 3
Comber Rec
25 Nov
Crumlin Star
2 : 0
Limavady
04 Jan
Ballymena
2 : 0
Crumlin Star
30 Nov
Coagh Utd
0 : 1
Crumlin Star
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Dergview -
TBD -
Nortel 0
Drumaness 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ardglass 5
Carniny Amateur & Youth 3
TBD -
Glebe -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Limavady -
TBD -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 0
Derriaghy 3
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirocco 2
Rathfern Rangers 1
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Strabane Athletic 2
Crumlin United 0
Bryansburn 1
Lisburn Rangers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Downshire Y.M. 3
Shankill 2
Immaculata 0
Kilmore Rec 1
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Bangor Swifts 1
TBD -
Banbridge -
Crumlin Star 2
Newbuildings 1
Downpatrick 0
Newry City 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
Killymoon 1
Harland & Wolff 8
Dergview 2
Drumaness 0
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Moyola 2
Annagh 0
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC 5
Knockbreda 2
Ardglass 2
Glebe 3
Chimney 3
Wakehurst 0
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Lisburn Distillery 2
Institute 1
Tobermore 1
PSNI 2
Limavady 2
Derriaghy 1
Lurgan Celtic 0
Queens University 5
Glenavon -
TBD -
Sirocco 1
Sport & Leisure 2
Strabane Athletic 2
Lisburn Rangers 0
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Armagh 2
Loughgall 0
TBD -
Ards -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Ballyclare 4
Larne 1
Downshire Y.M. 1
Kilmore Rec 3
Dundela 5
Portstewart 2
Coagh Utd 0
Carrick Rangers 2
Ballymoney 3
Newington FC 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Banbridge 4
Crumlin Star 4
Newry City 1
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Ballymena 3
Harland & Wolff 2
Dergview 0
Linfield 5
Coleraine 6
Cliftonville 5
Moyola 1
Dungannon 5
Bangor FC 7
Glebe 1
Chimney 0
Warrenpoint 2
Lisburn Distillery 2
PSNI 0
Limavady 0
Queens University 1
Glenavon 7
Sport & Leisure 0
Strabane Athletic 0
Ballinamallard 1
Armagh 5
Ards 3
Portadown 1
Glentoran 3
Ballyclare 3
Kilmore Rec 0
Dundela 2
Carrick Rangers 3
Ballymoney 1
Banbridge 0
Crumlin Star 1
Crusaders 2
1/8-finals
Ballymena 2
Linfield 1
Coleraine 2
Dungannon 3
Bangor FC 1
Warrenpoint 0
Lisburn Distillery 0
Queens University 2
Glenavon 3
Ballinamallard 0
Armagh 2
Glentoran 3
Ballyclare 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Ballymoney 0
Crusaders 4
Quarter-finals
Ballymena 4
Dungannon 1
Bangor FC 2
Queens University 3
Glenavon 2
Glentoran 1
Ballyclare 0
Crusaders 5
Semi-finals
Ballymena 3
Queens University 0
Glenavon 3
Crusaders 1
Final
Ballymena 1
Glenavon 2