Sport Picks

Wales

FA Cup 2010/2011

Newcastle Emlyn

1 - 4

Cardiff Metropolitan University

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Emlyn play Cardiff Metropolitan University in the FA Cup 2010/2011. Cardiff Metropolitan University are favorites here. Recently, Newcastle Emlyn averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Cardiff Metropolitan University averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Newcastle Emlyn won 0, Cardiff Metropolitan University won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 2, 2010 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Newcastle Emlyn and 1.11 for Cardiff Metropolitan University. This points to a Cardiff Metropolitan University double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Newcastle Emlyn

24%

Draws

63%

Cardiff Metropolitan University

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Cardiff Metropolitan University

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Newcastle Emlyn picked up more points recently compared to Cardiff Metropolitan University.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%

Newcastle Emlyn Clean Sheet 21%

Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Newcastle Emlyn	Cardiff Metropolitan University
Matches Played	6	31
Wins	1	14
Draws	0	9
Losses	5	8
Goals Scored	1.5	1.77
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2010 FA Cup

Newcastle Emlyn vs Cardiff Metropolitan University

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Emlyn 16 / 100

Cardiff Metropolitan University 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Newcastle Emlyn Cardiff Metropolitan University

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff Metropolitan University Win (2)

Secondary Pick Cardiff Metropolitan University & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +160%

20.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Newcastle Emlyn attacking → ← attacking Cardiff Metropolitan University

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Emlyn scored in 100% of their last 6 games.

Cardiff Metropolitan University let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Newcastle Emlyn went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Cardiff Metropolitan University lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 51

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63