Sport Picks

Wales

FA Cup 2009/2010

Llwydcoed

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Emlyn play Llwydcoed in the FA Cup 2009/2010. Llwydcoed are favorites here. Recently, Newcastle Emlyn averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Llwydcoed averaged 1.18 goals scored and 2.18 conceded. In past meetings, Newcastle Emlyn won 0, Llwydcoed won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 12, 2009 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Newcastle Emlyn and 0.74 for Llwydcoed. This points to a Llwydcoed double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

Newcastle Emlyn

17%

Draws

59%

Llwydcoed

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Llwydcoed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Newcastle Emlyn picked up more points recently compared to Llwydcoed.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.74 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Newcastle Emlyn Clean Sheet 27%

Llwydcoed Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Newcastle Emlyn	Llwydcoed
Matches Played	6	17
Wins	1	3
Draws	0	4
Losses	5	10
Goals Scored	1.5	1.18
Goals Conceded	2.5	2.18

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2009 FA Cup

Newcastle Emlyn vs Llwydcoed

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Emlyn 27 / 100

Llwydcoed 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Newcastle Emlyn Llwydcoed

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llwydcoed Win (2)

Secondary Pick Llwydcoed & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +50%

6.25

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Newcastle Emlyn attacking → ← attacking Llwydcoed

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Emlyn scored in 100% of their last 6 games.

Llwydcoed let in goals in 88% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Newcastle Emlyn went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Llwydcoed lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 13

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25