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Newcastle Emlyn vs Llwydcoed - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llwydcoed in this FA Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Newcastle Emlyn
15%
Draws
42%
Llwydcoed
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Emlyn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Newcastle Emlyn haven't matched Llwydcoed's recent run of results.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Llwydcoed arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Llwydcoed, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Newcastle Emlyn Clean Sheet 20%
Llwydcoed Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Emlyn Llwydcoed
Matches Played 6 17
Wins 1 3
Draws 0 4
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2009 FAW Welsh Cup
Newcastle Emlyn vs Llwydcoed
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Emlyn 36 / 100
Llwydcoed 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Emlyn Llwydcoed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llwydcoed Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Emlyn's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Llwydcoed let in goals in 88% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Llwydcoed's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Llwydcoed
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Emlyn

(Home)
12 Oct
Newcastle Emlyn
1 : 2
Chepstow Town
01 Oct
Tata Steel
3 : 1
Newcastle Emlyn
02 Oct
Newcastle Emlyn
1 : 4
Cardiff Metropolitan University
11 Sept
Newcastle Emlyn
4 : 0
South Gower AFC
12 Sept
Newcastle Emlyn
1 : 2
Llwydcoed
Page 1 of 2

Llwydcoed

(Away)
18 Oct
Llwydcoed
2 : 5
Treowen
27 Sept
Llwydcoed
3 : 1
Lliswerry
14 Jun
Caerau Ely
4 : 3
Llwydcoed
21 Sept
Newport Corinthians
1 : 0
Llwydcoed
07 Mar
Llwydcoed
0 : 2
Port Talbot
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Bala 1
Llanrug 0
Caersws FC 4
Coedpoeth 1
Caerau Ely 1
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangollen 1
Llandudno Junction 3
Cambrian United 0
TNS 2
Haverfordwest 1
Aberystwyth 2
Caldicot 0
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 3
Grange Harlequins 0
Porthmadog 3
Rhydymwyn 1
Rhyl 4
Bridgend Town 2
Pontardawe 2
Llandudno FC 0
Flint Town 0
Bangor City 1
Aberaman 2
Ely Rangers 0
Llanelli 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Llangeinor 1
Holyhead 6
1/8-finals
Bala 2
Caersws FC 0
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 1
Llandudno Junction 0
TNS 6
Aberystwyth 0
Port Talbot 2
Prestatyn 1
Porthmadog 0
Rhyl 7
Pontardawe 0
Bangor City 3
Aberaman 1
Llanelli 4
Holyhead 0
Quarter-finals
Bala 2
Afan Lido 0
TNS 2
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 5
Rhyl 4
Bangor City 2
Llanelli 0
Semi-finals
Bala 0
Port Talbot 1
Prestatyn 0
Bangor City 2
Final
Port Talbot 2
Bangor City 3