Sport Picks

Wales

FA Cup 2010/2011

South Gower AFC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Emlyn play South Gower AFC in the FA Cup 2010/2011. South Gower AFC are favorites here. Recently, Newcastle Emlyn averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. South Gower AFC averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Newcastle Emlyn won 1, South Gower AFC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 11, 2010 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.82 for Newcastle Emlyn and 1.82 for South Gower AFC. This points to a South Gower AFC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Newcastle Emlyn

15%

Draws

57%

South Gower AFC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Gower AFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Newcastle Emlyn picked up more points recently compared to South Gower AFC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.82 vs 1.82 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 92%

Over 3.5 Goals 55%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Newcastle Emlyn Clean Sheet 11%

South Gower AFC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Newcastle Emlyn	South Gower AFC
Matches Played	6	6
Wins	1	3
Draws	0	0
Losses	5	3
Goals Scored	1.5	1.33
Goals Conceded	2.5	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2010 FA Cup

Newcastle Emlyn vs South Gower AFC

Possession: 43% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Emlyn 27 / 100

South Gower AFC 53 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Newcastle Emlyn South Gower AFC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Gower AFC Win (2)

Secondary Pick South Gower AFC & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +6.7%

1.16

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Newcastle Emlyn attacking → ← attacking South Gower AFC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Emlyn scored in 100% of their last 6 games.

South Gower AFC let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Newcastle Emlyn went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

South Gower AFC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 9

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.14

2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.14