Sport Picks
Newcastle Emlyn vs South Gower AFC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FA Cup 2010/2011 
AI Match Summary
Newcastle Emlyn in this FA Cup 2010/2011 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Gower AFC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- South Gower AFC have won more games recently than Newcastle Emlyn.
- 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- South Gower AFC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Newcastle Emlyn, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 62%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Newcastle Emlyn Clean Sheet 11%
South Gower AFC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newcastle Emlyn | South Gower AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 6 | 6 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.82 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2010 FAW Welsh Cup
Newcastle Emlyn vs South Gower AFC
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newcastle Emlyn 30 / 100
South Gower AFC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newcastle Emlyn South Gower AFC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick South Gower AFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Newcastle Emlyn scored in 100% of their last 6 outings.
South Gower AFC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 6 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Newcastle Emlyn has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Newcastle Emlyn VS South Gower AFC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.14
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.14
100% Over 1.5 71%
100% Over 2.5 71%
67% Over 3.5 57%
Recent Form & Match History
Newcastle Emlyn
(Home) 12 Oct
Newcastle Emlyn
1 : 2 Chepstow Town
01 Oct
Tata Steel
3 : 1 Newcastle Emlyn
02 Oct
Newcastle Emlyn
1 : 4 Cardiff Metropolitan University
11 Sept
Newcastle Emlyn
4 : 0 South Gower AFC
12 Sept
Newcastle Emlyn
1 : 2 Llwydcoed
Page 1 of 2
12 Oct
Newcastle Emlyn
1 : 2 Chepstow Town
02 Oct
Newcastle Emlyn
1 : 4 Cardiff Metropolitan University
11 Sept
Newcastle Emlyn
4 : 0 South Gower AFC
12 Sept
Newcastle Emlyn
1 : 2 Llwydcoed
South Gower AFC
(Away) 09 Dec
Flint Mountain
2 : 1 South Gower AFC
11 Nov
South Gower AFC
3 : 2 Chepstow Town
14 Oct
South Gower AFC
1 : 0 Rockspur
16 Sept
Penydarren
2 : 3 South Gower AFC
11 Sept
Newcastle Emlyn
4 : 0 South Gower AFC
Page 1 of 2
09 Dec
Flint Mountain
2 : 1 South Gower AFC
16 Sept
Penydarren
2 : 3 South Gower AFC
11 Sept
Newcastle Emlyn
4 : 0 South Gower AFC
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Gwalchmai 1
Port Talbot 4
Caersws FC 4
Llanidloes Town 2
Bangor City 2
Bryntirion Athletic 1
Haverfordwest 3
Holyhead 2
Goytre Utd 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Connahs Q. 5
AFC Porth 3
Bow Street 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Porthmadog 0
Bala 1
Aberaman 0
Cefn Druids 4
Llanelli 1
Aberystwyth 0
Guilsfield 1
Rhos Aelwyd 2
Cambrian United 2
Prestatyn 3
Neath Athletic 1
Rhyl 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
TNS 3
Corus Steel 0
Grange Harlequins 2
Newtown 1
Bridgend Town 2
1/8-finals
Port Talbot 3
Caersws FC 0
Bangor City 5
Haverfordwest 3
Carmarthen Town 2
Connahs Q. 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Bala 1
Cefn Druids 1
Llanelli 4
Rhos Aelwyd 1
Prestatyn 6
Rhyl 1
TNS 2
Grange Harlequins 1
Bridgend Town 0
Quarter-finals
Port Talbot 0
Bangor City 3
Connahs Q. 4
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Llanelli 1
Prestatyn 0
TNS 2
Grange Harlequins 0
Semi-finals
Bangor City 1
Connahs Q. 0
Llanelli 1
TNS 0
Final
Bangor City 1
Llanelli 4
