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Newcastle Jets U23 vs Central Coast U23

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Hill J.
45' Event
Miller M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NSW League One matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Newcastle Jets U23
35%
Draws
37%
Central Coast U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Central Coast U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Newcastle Jets U23 haven't matched Central Coast U23's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Newcastle Jets U23's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular NSW League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Newcastle Jets U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Central Coast U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Jets U23 Central Coast U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.83 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.43 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NSW League One
Newcastle Jets U23 vs Central Coast U23
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 NSW League One
Central Coast U23 vs Newcastle Jets U23
2:3
Jan 11, 2020 Y-League
Newcastle Jets U23 vs Central Coast U23
2:1
Dec 17, 2019 Y-League
Central Coast U23 vs Newcastle Jets U23
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Jets U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hill J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Central Coast U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Miller M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Jets U23 75 / 100
Central Coast U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Jets U23 Central Coast U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Jets U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Jets U23 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Central Coast U23 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Newcastle Jets U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Jets U23 VS Central Coast U23
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Jets U23

(Home)
29 Aug
Newcastle Jets U23
2 : 9
Bankstown City Lions FC
22 Aug
Hakoah Sydney
3 : 3
Newcastle Jets U23
15 Aug
Newcastle Jets U23
1 : 3
Dulwich Hill
08 Aug
Newcastle Jets U23
1 : 1
Central Coast U23
01 Aug
Rydalmere Lions
1 : 1
Newcastle Jets U23
Page 1 of 6

Central Coast U23

(Away)
29 Aug
Hills United
8 : 0
Central Coast U23
23 Aug
Central Coast U23
2 : 4
Western City Rangers
16 Aug
Central Coast U23
1 : 0
Hurstville Zagreb
08 Aug
Newcastle Jets U23
1 : 1
Central Coast U23
02 Aug
Central Coast U23
1 : 4
Inter Lions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacktown Spartans 30 21 6 3 79:36 69
2 Northern Tigers 30 17 8 5 55:30 59
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 17 5 8 65:45 56
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 15 6 9 71:53 51
5 Hills United 30 14 7 9 62:45 49
6 Macarthur Rams 30 14 6 10 40:36 48
7 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 11 9 55:52 41
8 Rydalmere Lions 30 11 8 11 43:46 41
9 Bulls Academy 30 11 5 14 52:50 38
10 Inter Lions 30 10 5 15 39:54 35
11 Hurstville Zagreb 30 9 6 15 42:55 33
12 Central Coast U23 30 8 7 15 46:67 31
13 Dulwich Hill 30 7 9 14 40:58 30
14 Newcastle Jets U23 30 6 11 13 55:73 29
15 Prospect United 30 4 14 12 33:52 26
16 Western City Rangers 30 6 6 18 37:62 24
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)