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Newcastle Jets U23 vs Macarthur Rams

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Walshe K.
Own Goal
90'
Gollan A.
90'
Gollan A.

AI Match Summary

Macarthur Rams in this NSW League One matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Macarthur Rams.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Newcastle Jets U23
35%
Draws
41%
Macarthur Rams
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Macarthur Rams

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Macarthur Rams lately — more wins on the board than Newcastle Jets U23.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NSW League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Newcastle Jets U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Macarthur Rams Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Jets U23 Macarthur Rams
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.93 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NSW League One
Newcastle Jets U23 vs Macarthur Rams
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Newcastle Jets U23
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 NSW League One
Newcastle Jets U23 vs Macarthur Rams
5:0
May 10, 2025 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Newcastle Jets U23
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Jets U23 30 / 100
Macarthur Rams 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Jets U23 Macarthur Rams

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Jets U23 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Macarthur Rams has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Newcastle Jets U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Jets U23 VS Macarthur Rams
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Jets U23

(Home)
08 Aug
Newcastle Jets U23
1 : 1
Central Coast U23
01 Aug
Rydalmere Lions
1 : 1
Newcastle Jets U23
25 Jul
Newcastle Jets U23
2 : 1
Hills United
18 Jul
Western City Rangers
3 : 2
Newcastle Jets U23
11 Jul
Northern Tigers
2 : 2
Newcastle Jets U23
Page 1 of 6

Macarthur Rams

(Away)
08 Aug
Dulwich Hill
1 : 2
Macarthur Rams
01 Aug
Bulls Academy
0 : 1
Macarthur Rams
25 Jul
Macarthur Rams
1 : 2
Hurstville Zagreb
17 Jul
Prospect United
1 : 2
Macarthur Rams
10 Jul
Macarthur Rams
1 : 1
Bankstown City Lions FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacktown Spartans 27 19 5 3 69:32 62
2 Northern Tigers 27 15 7 5 48:27 52
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 27 15 5 7 51:40 50
4 Macarthur Rams 27 14 6 7 36:28 48
5 Canterbury Bankstown FC 27 12 6 9 61:48 42
6 Hills United 27 11 7 9 49:43 40
7 Rydalmere Lions 27 10 8 9 39:38 38
8 Hakoah Sydney 27 9 10 8 47:44 37
9 Bulls Academy 27 11 3 13 49:44 36
10 Hurstville Zagreb 27 9 6 12 40:45 33
11 Inter Lions 27 8 5 14 34:52 29
12 Newcastle Jets U23 27 6 10 11 49:58 28
13 Central Coast U23 27 7 7 13 43:55 28
14 Dulwich Hill 27 6 9 12 35:52 27
15 Western City Rangers 27 5 6 16 32:55 21
16 Prospect United 27 2 14 11 26:47 20
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)