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Newcastle Jets U23 vs Prospect United

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Cockle O.
27' Event
Kirkegard C.
65' Event
Vlachos D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NSW League One matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Newcastle Jets U23
28%
Draws
50%
Prospect United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Prospect United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Newcastle Jets U23 have won more games recently than Prospect United.
  • Win probability leans Prospect United's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Newcastle Jets U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Prospect United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Jets U23 Prospect United
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 6 3
Draws 10 12
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 NSW League One
Newcastle Jets U23 vs Prospect United
2:2
Feb 21, 2026 NSW League One
Prospect United vs Newcastle Jets U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Jets U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cockle O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goodwin J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Prospect United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirkegard C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vlachos D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Jets U23 22 / 100
Prospect United 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Jets U23 Prospect United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Jets U23 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Prospect United conceded in 88% of 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Newcastle Jets U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Jets U23 VS Prospect United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacktown Spartans24165360:3153
2Northern Tigers23127441:2143
3Bankstown City Lions FC24134745:3743
4Macarthur Rams24126632:2542
5Canterbury Bankstown FC24125757:3941
6Rydalmere Lions24107737:3437
7Hills United24106842:3936
8Bulls Academy241031144:3933
9Hakoah Sydney2479841:4030
10Hurstville Zagreb24861037:3930
11Central Coast U2323761039:4527
12Inter Lions24741329:4625
13Newcastle Jets U2324581145:5523
14Dulwich Hill24581127:4723
15Western City Rangers24541529:4819
16Prospect United242121023:4318