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Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix

Australia Australia

A-League McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Jets host Wellington Phoenix in the A-League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Newcastle Jets at 1.38 goals for, 1.25 against; Wellington Phoenix at 1 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor Newcastle Jets slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.13) point toward Newcastle Jets. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Newcastle Jets
28%
Draws
22%
Wellington Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Newcastle Jets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Newcastle Jets come out ahead of Wellington Phoenix on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Newcastle Jets taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Newcastle Jets Clean Sheet 20%
Wellington Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Jets Wellington Phoenix
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 A-League
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix
4:1
Dec 14, 2025 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets
1:3
Apr 6, 2025 A-League
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix
1:2
Dec 28, 2024 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets
2:1
Apr 19, 2024 A-League
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Jets 49 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Jets Wellington Phoenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Jets's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Wellington Phoenix has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Newcastle Jets stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Jets VS Wellington Phoenix
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Jets

(Home)
21 Jul
Preston Lions
3 : 2
Newcastle Jets
16 May
Newcastle Jets
1 : 2
Sydney FC
09 May
Sydney FC
1 : 1
Newcastle Jets
25 Apr
Newcastle Jets
4 : 0
Central Coast
17 Apr
Melbourne Victory
2 : 2
Newcastle Jets
Page 1 of 6

Wellington Phoenix

(Away)
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0
Wellington Phoenix
18 Apr
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 1
Western Sydney Wanderers
12 Apr
Melbourne City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix
05 Apr
Melbourne Victory
0 : 1
Wellington Phoenix
21 Mar
Brisbane Roar
1 : 2
Wellington Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Utd00000:00
2Central Coast00000:00
3Newcastle Jets00000:00
4Perth Glory00000:00
5Brisbane Roar00000:00
6Sydney FC00000:00
7Wellington Phoenix00000:00
8Melbourne Victory00000:00
9Melbourne City00000:00
10Western Sydney Wanderers00000:00
11Macarthur FC00000:00
12Auckland FC00000:00
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