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Newcastle Town vs Crewe

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Tabiner J.
53' Event
Lankester J.
57' Event
Lankester J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Newcastle Town and Crewe finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crewe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Newcastle Town
35%
Draws
37%
Crewe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Crewe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Newcastle Town haven't matched Crewe's recent run of results.
  • Crewe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Crewe have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Newcastle Town Clean Sheet 20%
Crewe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Town Crewe
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.04 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Crewe
1:7
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Crewe
0:5
Jul 17, 2015 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Crewe
0:3
Jul 10, 2013 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Crewe
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.39

Crewe Compare

Top Goalscorer Lankester J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tabiner J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Town 10 / 100
Crewe 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Town Crewe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crewe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.25 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Newcastle Town scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Crewe conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Newcastle Town remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Town VS Crewe
0.67 Goals Scored 1
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Town

(Home)
05 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
29 Aug
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Bourne
06 Sept
Belper Town
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
15 Jul
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Macclesfield
08 Jul
Newcastle Town
1 : 7
Crewe
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Crewe

(Away)
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1
Crewe
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
York City
01 Sept
Crewe
2 : 2
Walsall
29 Aug
Port Vale
0 : 0
Crewe
25 Aug
Barnsley
3 : 2
Crewe
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