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Newcastle Town vs Crewe

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Billington L.
23' Event
Thomas C.
43' Event
Connolly J.

AI Match Summary

Crewe in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crewe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Newcastle Town
35%
Draws
37%
Crewe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Crewe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crewe lately — more wins on the board than Newcastle Town.
  • Crewe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Crewe here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Newcastle Town Clean Sheet 20%
Crewe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Town Crewe
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.04 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Crewe
1:7
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Crewe
0:5
Jul 17, 2015 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Crewe
0:3
Jul 10, 2013 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Crewe
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Whitney L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.39

Crewe Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Billington L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Town 10 / 100
Crewe 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Town Crewe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crewe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.25 goals per match.

Newcastle Town found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Crewe has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Newcastle Town went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Town VS Crewe
0.67 Goals Scored 1
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Town

(Home)
05 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
29 Aug
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Bourne
06 Sept
Belper Town
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
15 Jul
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Macclesfield
08 Jul
Newcastle Town
1 : 7
Crewe
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Crewe

(Away)
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1
Crewe
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
York City
01 Sept
Crewe
2 : 2
Walsall
29 Aug
Port Vale
0 : 0
Crewe
25 Aug
Barnsley
3 : 2
Crewe
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