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Newcastle Town vs Port Vale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Tolaj L.
39' Event
Barry N.
75' Event
Chislett E.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Newcastle Town and Port Vale finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Port Vale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Newcastle Town
15%
Draws
57%
Port Vale
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Port Vale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Port Vale carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Port Vale a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Newcastle Town Clean Sheet 13%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Town Port Vale
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Port Vale
0:0
Jul 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Port Vale
1:3
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Port Vale
0:0
Jul 10, 2021 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Port Vale
2:6
Jul 29, 2018 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Port Vale
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Barry N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Port Vale Compare

Top Goalscorer Chislett E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tolaj L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Town 10 / 100
Port Vale 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Town Port Vale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port Vale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Town found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Port Vale has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Port Vale has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Town VS Port Vale
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Town

(Home)
19 Sept
Anstey Nomads
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
05 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
29 Aug
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Bourne
06 Sept
Belper Town
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
15 Jul
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Macclesfield
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Port Vale

(Away)
06 Oct
Port Vale
2 : 0
Mansfield
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1
Port Vale
19 Sept
Walsall
2 : 0
Port Vale
12 Sept
Port Vale
1 : 0
Exeter
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Port Vale
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