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Newcastle Utd U18 vs Middlesbrough U18

England England

Premier League U18 2025/2026
Newcastle Utd U18 Logo

Newcastle Utd U18

2 - 1
FT
Middlesbrough U18 Logo

Middlesbrough U18

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Seldon A.
Assist: Taylor M.
47'
Harrison L.
48' Event
Taylor M.
Assist: Seldon A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League U18 2025/2026 game between Newcastle Utd U18 and Middlesbrough U18 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newcastle Utd U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Newcastle Utd U18
20%
Draws
24%
Middlesbrough U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newcastle Utd U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Newcastle Utd U18 come out ahead of Middlesbrough U18 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Newcastle Utd U18's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • Newcastle Utd U18 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Newcastle Utd U18 Clean Sheet 14%
Middlesbrough U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd U18 Middlesbrough U18
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 0 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.17 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Newcastle Utd U18
0:4
Dec 13, 2025 Premier League U18
Newcastle Utd U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Newcastle Utd U18
2:4
Aug 17, 2024 Premier League U18
Newcastle Utd U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
0:1
May 7, 2024 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Newcastle Utd U18
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Seldon A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taylor M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Middlesbrough U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Haselhurst W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd U18 84 / 100
Middlesbrough U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd U18 Middlesbrough U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Newcastle Utd U18 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Middlesbrough U18 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Newcastle Utd U18 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd U18 VS Middlesbrough U18
3 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd U18

(Home)
12 Sept
Newcastle Utd U18
0 : 2
Manchester United U18
05 Sept
Leicester U18
1 : 4
Newcastle Utd U18
29 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
6 : 1
Blackburn U18
22 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2
Stoke City U18
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 1
Derby U18
Page 1 of 6

Middlesbrough U18

(Away)
12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1
Middlesbrough U18
05 Sept
Manchester United U18
5 : 0
Middlesbrough U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3
Derby U18
22 Aug
Liverpool U18
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U18
15 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
2 : 2
Leicester U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 26 19 3 4 96:39 60
2 Manchester United U18 26 18 2 6 65:24 56
3 Newcastle Utd U18 26 16 1 9 55:44 49
4 Everton U18 26 13 3 10 54:45 42
5 Nottingham U18 26 13 3 10 50:47 42
6 Sunderland U18 26 11 6 9 56:44 39
7 Middlesbrough U18 26 12 3 11 45:45 39
8 Liverpool U18 26 11 2 13 70:70 35
9 Blackburn U18 26 9 6 11 51:68 33
10 Derby U18 26 10 2 14 44:67 32
11 Burnley U18 26 9 3 14 49:68 30
12 Leeds U18 26 8 5 13 47:68 29
13 Wolves U18 26 5 5 16 29:55 20
14 Stoke City U18 26 5 2 19 42:69 17
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U18 28 21 4 3 88:24 67
2 Tottenham U18 28 16 6 6 70:36 54
3 Aston Villa U18 28 17 3 8 82:55 54
4 Brighton U18 28 14 7 7 63:41 49
5 Crystal Palace U18 28 14 4 10 74:52 46
6 West Brom U18 28 14 4 10 68:50 46
7 Southampton U18 28 13 3 12 65:61 42
8 West Ham U18 28 13 2 13 62:59 41
9 Leicester U18 28 10 6 12 46:53 36
10 Arsenal U18 28 9 6 13 46:57 33
11 Fulham U18 28 9 6 13 48:65 33
12 Norwich U18 28 6 8 14 47:67 26
13 Reading U18 28 6 8 14 38:66 26
14 Birmingham U18 28 6 3 19 29:88 21
15 Ipswich U18 28 6 2 20 41:93 20
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)