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Newcastle Utd U18 vs Stoke City U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League U18
Newcastle Utd U18 Logo

Newcastle Utd U18

3 - 2
FT
Stoke City U18 Logo

Stoke City U18

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Kelly I.
Assist: Ajiboye A.
9' Event
Hutchison A.
Assist: Old T.
32' Event
Seldon A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League U18 game between Newcastle Utd U18 and Stoke City U18 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newcastle Utd U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Newcastle Utd U18
15%
Draws
7%
Stoke City U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Utd U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Newcastle Utd U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Newcastle Utd U18's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Newcastle Utd U18 Clean Sheet 11%
Stoke City U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd U18 Stoke City U18
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 20 7
Draws 1 3
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 2.22 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Premier League U18
Newcastle Utd U18 vs Stoke City U18
3:2
Feb 14, 2026 Premier League U18
Stoke City U18 vs Newcastle Utd U18
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League U18
Newcastle Utd U18 vs Stoke City U18
1:3
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League U18
Stoke City U18 vs Newcastle Utd U18
5:3
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League U18
Newcastle Utd U18 vs Stoke City U18
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Seldon A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hutchison A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Stoke City U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd U18 83 / 100
Stoke City U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd U18 Stoke City U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Newcastle Utd U18 scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Stoke City U18 let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Newcastle Utd U18 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd U18 VS Stoke City U18
3 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Sunderland U18
0 : 3
Newcastle Utd U18
12 Sept
Newcastle Utd U18
0 : 2
Manchester United U18
05 Sept
Leicester U18
1 : 4
Newcastle Utd U18
29 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
6 : 1
Blackburn U18
22 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2
Stoke City U18
Page 1 of 7

Stoke City U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Leicester U18
2 : 2
Stoke City U18
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2
Derby U18
05 Sept
Stoke City U18
5 : 8
Manchester City U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1
Stoke City U18
22 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2
Stoke City U18
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 6 6 0 0 26:8 18
2 Newcastle Utd U18 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
3 Manchester United U18 5 4 0 1 16:1 12
4 Nottingham U18 5 3 1 1 15:4 10
5 Liverpool U18 5 2 2 1 14:11 8
6 Burnley U18 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
7 Middlesbrough U18 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
8 Derby U18 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
9 Everton U18 5 2 0 3 11:12 6
10 Leeds U18 5 2 0 3 8:16 6
11 Blackburn U18 5 2 0 3 5:20 6
12 Stoke City U18 6 1 1 4 11:18 4
13 Leicester U18 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
14 Sunderland U18 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
15 Wolves U18 5 0 0 5 3:18 0
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U18 6 5 1 0 33:9 16
2 Chelsea U18 6 4 0 2 25:10 12
3 Southampton U18 6 4 0 2 21:12 12
4 Fulham U18 6 3 3 0 23:15 12
5 Arsenal U18 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
6 West Ham U18 6 3 1 2 16:15 10
7 Brighton U18 6 3 1 2 15:17 10
8 Ipswich U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
9 Brentford U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
10 Aston Villa U18 6 2 2 2 15:13 8
11 West Brom U18 6 2 1 3 5:14 7
12 Norwich U18 6 2 0 4 13:22 6
13 Bournemouth U18 6 1 2 3 14:22 5
14 Crystal Palace U18 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
15 Reading U18 6 1 1 4 9:22 4
16 Birmingham U18 6 1 0 5 6:22 3
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)