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Newcastle Utd U21 vs Bolton U21

England England

Premier League U21 2014/2015 St. James' Park, Newcastle
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gutierrez J.
48' Event
Odelusi S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League U21 2014/2015 game between Newcastle Utd U21 and Bolton U21 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Newcastle Utd U21
15%
Draws
69%
Bolton U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bolton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Bolton U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Bolton U21 taking it.
  • Regular Premier League U21 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Bolton U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd U21 Bolton U21
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.19 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2015 Premier League U21
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Bolton U21
1:1
Aug 18, 2014 Premier League U21
Bolton U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
3:3
Oct 7, 2013 Premier League U21
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Bolton U21
1:1
May 3, 2013 Premier League U21
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Bolton U21
1:2
Apr 4, 2013 Premier League U21
Bolton U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bolton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Odelusi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd U21 10 / 100
Bolton U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd U21 Bolton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolton U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolton U21 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Newcastle Utd U21 scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Newcastle Utd U21 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd U21 VS Bolton U21
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd U21

(Home)
22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
08 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
31 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 4
Fulham U21
Page 1 of 7

Bolton U21

(Away)
21 Sept
Bolton U21
3 : 1
QPR U21
15 Sept
Millwall U21
0 : 3
Bolton U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1
Southampton U21
31 Aug
Bolton U21
3 : 1
Coventry U21
25 Aug
Bolton U21
7 : 0
Colchester U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester United U21 22 11 7 4 39:23 40
2 Liverpool U21 22 11 3 8 45:35 36
3 Chelsea U21 22 10 5 7 39:27 35
4 Sunderland U21 22 10 5 7 26:24 35
5 Manchester City U21 22 10 3 9 44:40 33
6 Leicester U21 22 9 5 8 39:37 32
7 Norwich U21 22 8 8 6 34:32 32
8 Southampton U21 22 9 4 9 32:34 31
9 Tottenham U21 22 8 5 9 30:30 29
10 Everton U21 22 8 3 11 32:37 27
11 Fulham U21 22 6 4 12 27:45 22
12 West Ham U21 22 5 2 15 20:43 17
Relegation - Premier League U21 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League U21 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League U21 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League U21 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 22 16 2 4 39:23 50
2 Reading U21 22 13 2 7 38:30 41
3 Derby U21 22 12 4 6 39:20 40
4 Arsenal U21 22 11 4 7 38:25 37
5 West Brom U21 22 10 7 5 37:27 37
6 Newcastle Utd U21 22 9 5 8 43:39 32
7 Aston Villa U21 22 8 3 11 25:36 27
8 Brighton U21 22 6 5 11 19:23 23
9 Bolton U21 22 5 8 9 26:33 23
10 Blackburn U21 22 5 6 11 23:31 21
11 Stoke City U21 22 4 6 12 23:50 18
12 Wolves U21 22 3 8 11 24:37 17
Relegation - Premier League U21 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League U21 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League U21 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League U21 (Main)