Sport Picks

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Newcastle Utd U21 vs Middlesbrough U21

England England

Premier League 2 2025/2026 Northumberland FA, Newcastle
Newcastle Utd U21 Logo

Newcastle Utd U21

0 - 1
FT
Middlesbrough U21 Logo

Middlesbrough U21

Our Tip

Match Events

53'
Fitzgerald K.
54'
Sub
Campbell L. In: Carbon J.
Out: Campbell L.
70'
Sub
Wooster K. In: Hutchison A.
Out: Wooster K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Middlesbrough U21 in this Premier League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Middlesbrough U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Newcastle Utd U21
15%
Draws
48%
Middlesbrough U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middlesbrough U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Middlesbrough U21 lately — more wins on the board than Newcastle Utd U21.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Middlesbrough U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Middlesbrough U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd U21 Middlesbrough U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2026 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
0:1
Mar 7, 2025 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
0:2
Mar 22, 2024 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
3:2
Apr 3, 2023 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
0:0
Sep 30, 2022 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Middlesbrough U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Coulson F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd U21 23 / 100
Middlesbrough U21 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd U21 Middlesbrough U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MID Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Middlesbrough U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Newcastle Utd U21's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Newcastle Utd U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd U21 VS Middlesbrough U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd U21

(Home)
27 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
13 Apr
Newcastle Utd U21
1 : 1
Wolves U21
10 Apr
Manchester United U21
1 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
20 Mar
Nottingham U21
3 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
13 Mar
Newcastle Utd U21
2 : 0
Blackburn U21
Page 1 of 6

Middlesbrough U21

(Away)
25 Apr
Chelsea U21
1 : 0
Middlesbrough U21
10 Apr
Aston Villa U21
0 : 2
Middlesbrough U21
20 Mar
Derby U21
1 : 0
Middlesbrough U21
13 Mar
Middlesbrough U21
6 : 1
Stoke City U21
06 Mar
Tottenham U21
1 : 3
Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U21 20 14 1 5 52:25 43
2 Manchester United U21 20 13 4 3 43:26 43
3 Manchester City U21 20 13 1 6 59:21 40
4 Fulham U21 20 11 5 4 48:32 38
5 Ipswich U21 20 12 2 6 45:45 38
6 Southampton U21 20 10 6 4 36:29 36
7 Liverpool U21 20 11 2 7 49:36 35
8 Tottenham U21 20 11 2 7 42:32 35
9 Leicester U21 20 9 4 7 48:42 31
10 Crystal Palace U21 20 9 4 7 36:31 31
11 Aston Villa U21 20 9 4 7 32:35 31
12 Brighton U21 20 8 6 6 38:25 30
13 West Ham U21 20 8 6 6 44:35 30
14 Arsenal U21 20 8 5 7 28:33 29
15 Sunderland U21 20 8 4 8 41:40 28
16 Middlesbrough U21 20 7 6 7 37:28 27
17 Nottingham U21 20 8 2 10 23:23 26
18 Everton U21 20 7 4 9 33:36 25
19 Reading U21 20 7 4 9 29:36 25
20 Stoke City U21 20 7 4 9 29:42 25
21 Newcastle Utd U21 20 6 6 8 30:35 24
22 Wolves U21 20 6 5 9 30:45 23
23 Norwich U21 20 5 5 10 32:42 20
24 Derby U21 20 5 5 10 26:44 20
25 Leeds U21 20 5 3 12 28:40 18
26 West Brom U21 20 5 3 12 26:41 18
27 Birmingham U21 20 4 5 11 26:52 17
28 Blackburn U21 20 4 2 14 27:46 14
29 Burnley U21 20 3 4 13 22:42 13
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