Sport Picks
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Notts County U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League Cup 2018/2019 
Match Events
18'
18'
Sorensen E.
43'
43'
Roberts C.
77'
77'
Bingham J.
AI Match Summary
Newcastle Utd U23 in this Premier League Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newcastle Utd U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Newcastle Utd U23 lately — more wins on the board than Notts County U23.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on Newcastle Utd U23 taking it.
- Newcastle Utd U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Newcastle Utd U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Notts County U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newcastle Utd U23 | Notts County U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 8 |
| Wins | 14 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.78 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.06 | 3.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 22, 2019 Premier League Cup
Notts County U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
2:2
Oct 4, 2018 Premier League Cup
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Notts County U23
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newcastle Utd U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Sorensen E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Roberts C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Notts County U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Bingham J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newcastle Utd U23 83 / 100
Notts County U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newcastle Utd U23 Notts County U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newcastle Utd U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Utd U23's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Notts County U23 let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Difficult form: Notts County U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Newcastle Utd U23 VS Notts County U23
1.88 Goals Scored 3
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Newcastle Utd U23
(Home) 02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2 Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 4 Southampton U23
18 Apr
Wolves U23
4 : 2 Newcastle Utd U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1 Newcastle Utd U23
01 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
4 : 2 Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 7
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 4 Southampton U23
28 Mar
Newcastle Utd U23
4 : 3 West Brom U23
14 Mar
Newcastle Utd U23
1 : 0 Birmingham U23
21 Feb
Newcastle Utd U23
1 : 6 Fulham U23
31 Jan
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 0 Aston Villa U23
Page 1 of 3
Notts County U23
(Away) 01 Aug
Loughborough Dynamo
3 : 3 Notts County U23
22 Feb
Southampton U23
6 : 2 Notts County U23
15 Feb
Leeds U23
2 : 1 Notts County U23
22 Jan
Notts County U23
2 : 2 Newcastle Utd U23
28 Nov
Notts County U23
0 : 7 Southampton U23
Page 1 of 2
01 Aug
Loughborough Dynamo
3 : 3 Notts County U23
22 Feb
Southampton U23
6 : 2 Notts County U23
15 Feb
Leeds U23
2 : 1 Notts County U23
04 Oct
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 1 Notts County U23
29 Aug
Newport U23
0 : 6 Notts County U23
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stoke City U23 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 13 |
| 2 | Sunderland U23 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18:13 | 12 |
| 3 | Peterborough U23 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:18 | 6 |
| 4 | Charlton U23 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Everton U23 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Blackburn U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Sheffield Utd U23 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 4 | Doncaster U23 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | 1 |
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burnley U23 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 2 | Bournemouth U23 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 8 |
| 3 | Liverpool U23 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 4 | West Brom U23 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nottingham U23 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Leicester U23 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 3 | Exeter U23 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 4 | Norwich U23 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea U23 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Wolves U23 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Oxford Utd U23 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Hull City U23 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derby U23 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Aston Villa U23 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Plymouth U23 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Bristol City U23 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:25 | 2 |
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reading U23 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Fulham U23 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16:5 | 12 |
| 3 | Birmingham U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 4 | Colchester U23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:24 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leeds U23 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 12 |
| 2 | Newcastle Utd U23 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 3 | Southampton U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18:10 | 10 |
| 4 | Notts County U23 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:24 | 1 |
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
