Sport Picks

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Newcastle Utd U23 vs Sunderland U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Northumberland FA, Newcastle
Newcastle Utd U23 Logo

Newcastle Utd U23

2 - 0
FT
Sunderland U23 Logo

Sunderland U23

Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Almond P.
23' Event
Stephenson D.
Assist: De Bolle L.
33'
Wearne S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Utd U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newcastle Utd U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Newcastle Utd U23
15%
Draws
49%
Sunderland U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sunderland U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sunderland U23 haven't matched Newcastle Utd U23's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Newcastle Utd U23 taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Newcastle Utd U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Sunderland U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd U23 Sunderland U23
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 14 8
Draws 2 7
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.77 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2021 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Sunderland U23
2:0
Oct 18, 2021 Premier League 2
Sunderland U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
1:2
Mar 8, 2021 Premier League 2
Sunderland U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
1:1
Oct 5, 2020 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Sunderland U23
0:4
Feb 14, 2020 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Sunderland U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stephenson D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sunderland U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd U23 34 / 100
Sunderland U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd U23 Sunderland U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd U23 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Sunderland U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Sunderland U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd U23 VS Sunderland U23
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd U23

(Home)
02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 4
Southampton U23
18 Apr
Wolves U23
4 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1
Newcastle Utd U23
01 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
4 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 7

Sunderland U23

(Away)
01 May
Southampton U23
1 : 0
Sunderland U23
25 Apr
Sunderland U23
2 : 1
Birmingham U23
18 Apr
Sunderland U23
1 : 3
Aston Villa U23
01 Apr
Norwich U23
1 : 1
Sunderland U23
21 Mar
Sunderland U23
0 : 2
Burnley U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)