Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newcastle Utd W vs Sunderland W

England England

WSL 2 St. James' Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Utd W play Sunderland W in the WSL 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Newcastle Utd W averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Sunderland W averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Newcastle Utd W won 3, Sunderland W won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Newcastle Utd W and 0.88 for Sunderland W. This points to a Newcastle Utd W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Newcastle Utd W
31%
Draws
30%
Sunderland W
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Newcastle Utd W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Newcastle Utd W picked up more points recently compared to Sunderland W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Newcastle Utd W Clean Sheet 25%
Sunderland W Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd W Sunderland W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.57 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 WSL 2
Sunderland W vs Newcastle Utd W
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 WSL 2
Newcastle Utd W vs Sunderland W
3:1
Mar 23, 2025 WSL 2
Newcastle Utd W vs Sunderland W
1:0
Oct 13, 2024 WSL 2
Sunderland W vs Newcastle Utd W
1:2
Apr 16, 2009 Women's National League North
Sunderland W vs Newcastle Utd W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd W Compare

Top Goalscorer Murphy E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cooper D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sunderland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Barry K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd W 40 / 100
Sunderland W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd W Sunderland W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Newcastle Utd W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Newcastle Utd W attacking → ← attacking Sunderland W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Sunderland W let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Newcastle Utd W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sunderland W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 36
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Birmingham W22142646:2444
2Crystal Palace W22135444:2644
3Charlton W22126431:2142
4Bristol City W22114747:3137
5Southampton FC W22105744:2635
6Newcastle Utd W2289532:2533
7Nottingham W22931027:3530
8Sunderland W22661028:3524
9Ipswich W22651126:4223
10Durham W22571027:3522
11Sheffield Utd W22461221:4318
12Portsmouth W22421623:5314