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Newcastle Utd W vs Sunderland W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's League Cup Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Women's League Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Newcastle Utd W have averaged 1.66 scored and 1.06 conceded recently, against Sunderland W's 1.37 scored and 1.67 conceded. Head-to-head, Newcastle Utd W have won 3 to Sunderland W's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.38) back Newcastle Utd W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Newcastle Utd W
15%
Draws
39%
Sunderland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Utd W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Newcastle Utd W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Newcastle Utd W a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Newcastle Utd W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Newcastle Utd W Clean Sheet 17%
Sunderland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd W Sunderland W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.66 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 WSL 2
Sunderland W vs Newcastle Utd W
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 WSL 2
Newcastle Utd W vs Sunderland W
3:1
Mar 23, 2025 WSL 2
Newcastle Utd W vs Sunderland W
1:0
Oct 13, 2024 WSL 2
Sunderland W vs Newcastle Utd W
1:2
Apr 16, 2009 Women's National League North
Sunderland W vs Newcastle Utd W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd W 75 / 100
Sunderland W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd W Sunderland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd W found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Sunderland W conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Newcastle Utd W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd W VS Sunderland W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd W

(Home)
04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3
Newcastle Utd W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 0
Leicester W
20 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
12 Sept
Bristol City W
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
Page 1 of 7

Sunderland W

(Away)
04 Oct
Sunderland W
3 : 1
Leicester W
27 Sept
Watford W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
23 Sept
Liverpool W
4 : 2
Sunderland W
20 Sept
Sunderland W
0 : 0
Southampton FC W
13 Sept
Burnley W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester United W 2 2 0 0 15:2 6
2 Aston Villa W 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Crystal Palace W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Liverpool W 2 2 0 0 8:5 6
5 London City Lionesses W 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
6 West Ham W 2 2 0 0 3:1 5
7 Tottenham W 2 1 0 1 1:0 4
8 Brighton W 2 1 0 1 4:1 3
9 Everton W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bristol City W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Burnley W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Wolverhampton W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Watford W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Ipswich W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Sunderland W 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
16 Newcastle Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
17 Southampton FC W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Nottingham W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
19 Leicester W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
20 Birmingham W 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
21 Durham W 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
22 Charlton W 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
23 Sheffield Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:10 0
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