Sport Picks

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Newells Old Boys 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Benedetto B.
45' Event
Calderone F.
68' Event
Amadio J.

AI Match Summary

Newells Old Boys 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newells Old Boys 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Newells Old Boys 2
20%
Draws
46%
Atl. Rafaela 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Rafaela 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Newells Old Boys 2 lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Rafaela 2.
  • Win probability leans Newells Old Boys 2's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Newells Old Boys 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Rafaela 2 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newells Old Boys 2 Atl. Rafaela 2
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Reserve League
Newells Old Boys 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newells Old Boys 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Benedetto B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Calderone F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Atl. Rafaela 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newells Old Boys 2 50 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 2 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newells Old Boys 2 Atl. Rafaela 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newells Old Boys 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newells Old Boys 2's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Atl. Rafaela 2 conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Newells Old Boys 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newells Old Boys 2 VS Atl. Rafaela 2
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Newells Old Boys 2

(Home)
24 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
3 : 0
Rosario Central 2
17 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
4 : 0
San Martin S.J. 2
10 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia 2
1 : 0
Newells Old Boys 2
02 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
0 : 2
Deportivo Riestra 2
27 Aug
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
2 : 0
Newells Old Boys 2
Page 1 of 6

Atl. Rafaela 2

(Away)
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
17 Sept
Boca Juniors 2
0 : 0
Atl. Rafaela 2
08 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
2 : 1
Independiente 2
01 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
2 : 1
Colon Santa Fe 2
26 Aug
Platense 2
1 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 18 14 2 2 40:11 44
2 River Plate 2 18 9 4 5 24:17 31
3 Racing Club 2 18 8 6 4 27:23 30
4 Atl. Tucuman 2 18 9 3 6 26:25 30
5 Union de Santa Fe 2 18 7 8 3 23:19 29
6 Argentinos Jrs 2 18 7 7 4 24:18 28
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
8 Rosario Central 2 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
9 Instituto 2 18 5 9 4 20:21 24
10 San Lorenzo 2 18 6 6 6 22:24 24
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
12 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 18 6 5 7 16:19 23
13 Banfield 2 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
14 Aldosivi 2 18 5 3 10 17:28 18
15 Barracas Central 2 18 4 5 9 11:24 17
16 Sarmiento Junin 2 18 4 4 10 16:26 16
17 Tigre 2 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
18 Godoy Cruz 2 18 4 3 11 20:30 15
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 2 18 11 3 4 33:11 36
2 Independiente 2 18 11 3 4 36:16 36
3 Lanus 2 18 11 2 5 39:24 35
4 Newells Old Boys 2 18 10 4 4 26:16 34
5 Quilmes 2 18 10 3 5 20:12 33
6 Defensa y Justicia 2 18 9 5 4 38:24 32
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 18 8 4 6 25:16 28
8 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 18 8 3 7 27:29 27
9 Huracan 2 18 7 5 6 23:17 26
10 Platense 2 18 7 5 6 17:20 26
11 Deportivo Riestra 2 18 7 4 7 25:18 25
12 Ind. Rivadavia 2 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
13 Ferro 2 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 18 5 4 9 21:33 19
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 18 5 3 10 15:23 18
16 Atl. Rafaela 2 18 3 3 12 21:36 12
17 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 18 2 5 11 9:32 11
18 San Martin S.J. 2 18 2 2 14 16:59 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)