Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Ascacibar S.
Assist: Villa S.
43'
Giannetti L.
45'
Costa A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Newells Old Boys
35%
Draws
38%
Boca Juniors
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Boca Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Boca Juniors have won more games recently than Newells Old Boys.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 22%
Boca Juniors Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newells Old Boys Boca Juniors
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 8 18
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors
2:2
Feb 1, 2026 Liga Profesional
Boca Juniors vs Newells Old Boys
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Liga Profesional
Boca Juniors vs Newells Old Boys
5:0
Mar 30, 2025 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors
2:0
Dec 9, 2024 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newells Old Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Coccaro M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Regiardo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Boca Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Ascacibar S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Velasco A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newells Old Boys 32 / 100
Boca Juniors 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newells Old Boys Boca Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boca Juniors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newells Old Boys went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Newells Old Boys found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Boca Juniors has conceded goals in 60% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Newells Old Boys VS Boca Juniors
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.43 Goals Conceded 0.63
57% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newells Old Boys

(Home)
20 Sept
Platense
0 : 1
Newells Old Boys
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1
Velez Sarsfield
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
31 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0
Newells Old Boys
23 Aug
Newells Old Boys
2 : 1
Banfield
Page 1 of 6

Boca Juniors

(Away)
27 Sept
Racing Club
2 : 3
Boca Juniors
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2
Boca Juniors
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1
Boca Juniors
12 Sept
Boca Juniors
3 : 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
09 Sept
Boca Juniors
1 : 0
Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 10 7 1 2 13:7 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 10 5 5 0 15:9 20
3 Defensa y Justicia 10 5 3 2 13:11 18
4 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Boca Juniors 10 4 5 1 14:11 17
6 Independiente 10 5 2 3 10:8 17
7 Lanus 10 5 1 4 13:9 16
8 Newells Old Boys 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
9 Union de Santa Fe 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
10 San Lorenzo 10 3 2 5 4:8 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 10 3 1 6 10:11 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
13 Platense 10 2 3 5 9:15 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
2 Rosario Central 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Ind. Rivadavia 10 5 2 3 14:13 17
4 Gimnasia L.P. 10 5 2 3 15:15 17
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
6 Huracan 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
9 Atl. Tucuman 10 3 4 3 7:6 13
10 Tigre 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
11 Barracas Central 10 3 3 4 5:7 12
12 Banfield 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
13 Aldosivi 10 2 2 6 12:16 8
14 Racing Club 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 10 1 3 6 5:13 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)