Sport Picks
Newells Old Boys vs Independiente
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario 
Match Events
16'
16'
Lomonaco K.
34'
34'
Avalos G.
38'
38'
Millan L.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Profesional game between Newells Old Boys and Independiente finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newells Old Boys
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Independiente carry the better recent record into this one.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Newells Old Boys taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newells Old Boys | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Newells Old Boys
1:0
Jan 28, 2026 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Independiente
1:1
Nov 26, 2024 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Independiente
2:1
Jul 11, 2023 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Newells Old Boys
0:2
Sep 24, 2022 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Newells Old Boys
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newells Old Boys Compare
Top Goalscorer Hoyos M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Independiente Compare
Top Goalscorer Avalos G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newells Old Boys 86 / 100
Independiente 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newells Old Boys Independiente
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newells Old Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newells Old Boys found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Independiente's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Newells Old Boys went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Newells Old Boys VS Independiente
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Newells Old Boys
(Home) 15 Aug
Newells Old Boys
2 : 0 Deportivo Riestra
09 Aug
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 1 Newells Old Boys
02 Aug
Newells Old Boys
2 : 2 Boca Juniors
31 Jul
Independiente
1 : 0 Newells Old Boys
25 Jul
Newells Old Boys
1 : 0 Talleres Cordoba
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Newells Old Boys
2 : 0 Deportivo Riestra
02 Aug
Newells Old Boys
2 : 2 Boca Juniors
25 Jul
Newells Old Boys
1 : 0 Talleres Cordoba
26 Apr
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1 Instituto
12 Apr
Newells Old Boys
0 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 4
Independiente
(Away) 12 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
4 : 0 Independiente
09 Aug
Independiente
0 : 1 Platense
03 Aug
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Independiente
31 Jul
Independiente
1 : 0 Newells Old Boys
26 Jul
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 2 Independiente
Page 1 of 6
12 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
4 : 0 Independiente
03 Aug
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Independiente
26 Jul
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 2 Independiente
22 May
Union de Santa Fe
0 : 2 Independiente
10 May
Rosario Central
3 : 1 Independiente
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
