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Newington FC vs Ballymena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup
Newington FC Logo

Newington FC

1 - 3
FT
Ballymena Logo

Ballymena

Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Tully J.
52' Event
Rutkowski I.
(Penalty)
86' Event
McConnell C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Newington FC
15%
Draws
57%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ballymena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ballymena haven't matched Newington FC's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Ballymena taking it.
  • Newington FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ballymena, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ballymena here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Newington FC Clean Sheet 11%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newington FC Ballymena
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 17 15
Draws 3 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 2 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2026 Irish League Cup
Newington FC vs Ballymena
1:3
Nov 4, 2025 Irish League Cup
Ballymena vs Newington FC
3:0
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Ballymena vs Newington FC
4:2
Feb 4, 2023 Irish Cup
Ballymena vs Newington FC
4:1
Aug 27, 2019 Irish League Cup
Ballymena vs Newington FC
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newington FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tully J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ballymena Compare

Top Goalscorer McConnell C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edogun S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newington FC 10 / 100
Ballymena 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newington FC Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballymena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newington FC found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Ballymena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

Newington FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newington FC VS Ballymena
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newington FC

(Home)
20 Oct
Newington FC
1 : 3
Ballymena
16 Oct
Moyola
2 : 3
Newington FC
09 Oct
Newington FC
0 : 2
Ards
03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0
Newington FC
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
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Ballymena

(Away)
20 Oct
Newington FC
1 : 3
Ballymena
17 Oct
Ballymena
2 : 1
Crusaders
10 Oct
Limavady
3 : 2
Ballymena
03 Oct
Cliftonville
0 : 1
Ballymena
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Annagh 3
Limavady 4
Armagh 1
Harland & Wolff 3
Ballinamallard 1
Queens University 2
Bangor FC 1
Dungannon 2
Carrick Rangers 3
Newry City 0
Dundela 1
Moyola 4
Institute 0
Loughgall 3
Newington FC 1
Ballymena 3
Portadown 0
Cliftonville 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Ards 0
Strabane Athletic 0
Glenavon 5
Warrenpoint 5
Crusaders 2
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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