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Newington FC vs Rathfriland Rangers Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newington FC in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newington FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Newington FC
15%
Draws
39%
Rathfriland Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newington FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Newington FC have won more games recently than Rathfriland Rangers.
  • Win probability leans Newington FC's way, sitting at 36%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Newington FC Clean Sheet 20%
Rathfriland Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newington FC Rathfriland Rangers
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 18 11
Draws 4 0
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 2.06 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Rathfriland Rangers
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newington FC 36 / 100
Rathfriland Rangers 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newington FC Rathfriland Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newington FC found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Rathfriland Rangers let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Newington FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newington FC VS Rathfriland Rangers
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Newington FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0
Newington FC
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0
Newington FC
12 Sept
Newington FC
5 : 5
Dundela
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Newington FC
Page 1 of 7

Rathfriland Rangers

(Away)
03 Oct
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Rathfriland Rangers
25 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Warrenpoint
19 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 0
Queens University
12 Sept
Ards
1 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
05 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Institute
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 10 6 2 2 24:18 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
6 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
7 Newry City 10 4 3 3 16:18 15
8 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
9 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
11 Ards 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
12 Dundela 10 2 5 3 18:20 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 10 2 0 8 9:22 6
16 Armagh 10 0 5 5 8:16 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)