Sport Picks

Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026

Newport City

2 - 1

Cardiff Draconians

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Kazadi E.

40'

McLaggon K.

58'

Hillman D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Newport City in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newport City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Newport City

Draws

90%

Cardiff Draconians

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cardiff Draconians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Cardiff Draconians lately — more wins on the board than Newport City.
Cardiff Draconians are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Newport City Clean Sheet 10%

Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Newport City	Cardiff Draconians
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	9	14
Draws	10	4
Losses	14	12
Goals Scored	1.25	1.5
Goals Conceded	2.38	2.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Cymru South

Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Dec 10, 2025 Cymru South

Newport City vs Cardiff Draconians

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newport City Compare

Top Goalscorer McLaggon K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hillman D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Cardiff Draconians Compare

Top Goalscorer Mallam L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newport City 10 / 100

Cardiff Draconians 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Newport City Cardiff Draconians

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cardiff Draconians conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Newport City scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Newport City has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Newport City VS Cardiff Draconians

1.25 Goals Scored 1.5

2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trefelin	30	25	3	2	83:17	78
2	Cambrian United	30	24	4	2	75:20	76
3	Ammanford Town	30	17	9	4	49:26	60
4	Caerau Ely	30	17	6	7	66:34	57
5	Carmarthen Town	30	11	12	7	45:38	45
6	Aberystwyth	30	13	5	12	35:38	44
7	Cardiff Draconians	30	12	4	14	50:48	40
8	Llantwit Major	30	9	10	11	44:47	37
9	Treowen	30	10	7	13	51:63	37
10	Newport City	30	9	10	11	36:48	37
11	Pontypridd United	30	9	7	14	46:51	34
12	Afan Lido	30	9	3	18	32:57	30
13	Trethomas Bluebirds	30	6	11	13	45:62	29
14	Baglan Dragons	30	5	10	15	26:52	25
15	Ynyshir Albions	30	5	8	17	27:56	23
16	Cwmbran Celtic	30	1	7	22	25:78	10