Sport Picks
Newport City vs Pontypridd United Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 
AI Match Summary
Newport City host Pontypridd United in the Cymru South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Newport City have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Pontypridd United's 1.86 scored and 1.61 conceded. Head-to-head, Newport City have won 2 to Pontypridd United's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 5, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.81, favoring Pontypridd United. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Pontypridd United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Newport City a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newport City | Pontypridd United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pontypridd United let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Newport City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Newport City's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Newport City
(Home)Pontypridd United
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 14 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Treowen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Pontardawe | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 12 | Newport City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:6 | 8 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 14 | Caerphilly | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7:27 | 2 |
