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Newport vs Grimsby

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Rodney Parade, Newport
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Cook A.
61' Event
Opoku N.
Penalty Missed
67'
Sub
Turi G. D. In: McEachran G.
Out: Turi G. D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Newport
11%
Draws
9%
Grimsby
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Newport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grimsby lately — more wins on the board than Newport.
  • Win probability leans Newport's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Newport Clean Sheet 12%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newport Grimsby
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 2.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 League Two
Newport vs Grimsby
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Newport
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Newport
1:0
Nov 16, 2024 League Two
Newport vs Grimsby
0:0
Apr 6, 2024 League Two
Grimsby vs Newport
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newport 74 / 100
Grimsby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newport Grimsby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newport's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Newport stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Grimsby conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Newport VS Grimsby
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newport

(Home)
11 Jul
Gloucester City
2 : 1
Newport
08 Jul
Newport City
0 : 5
Newport
04 Jul
Bristol Manor Farm
0 : 3
Newport
02 May
Barrow
1 : 2
Newport
25 Apr
Newport
3 : 2
Oldham
Page 1 of 6

Grimsby

(Away)
11 Jul
Cleethorpes
0 : 0
Grimsby
15 May
Salford
2 : 2
Grimsby
10 May
Grimsby
1 : 2
Salford
02 May
Tranmere
1 : 1
Grimsby
25 Apr
Grimsby
4 : 0
Swindon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bromley462415771:4687
2Milton Keynes Dons462414886:4586
3Cambridge Utd462216866:3382
4Salford462561561:5181
5Notts County462481474:5280
6Chesterfield462116971:5679
7Grimsby4622121274:5078
8Barnet4621131270:5376
9Swindon462291570:5975
10Oldham4618141460:4468
11Crewe4619101764:5867
12Colchester4618121662:4966
13Walsall4618111756:5665
14Bristol Rovers461952256:6562
15Fleetwood Town4615161557:5861
16Accrington4614112147:5853
17Gillingham4613141953:7253
18Cheltenham4614102253:7952
19Shrewsbury4613102342:6949
20Newport461272748:7743
21Tranmere4610112554:7941
22Crawley Town468162244:6840
23Harrogate461092739:6839
24Barrow46992845:7836
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)