Sport Picks

Newport vs Plymouth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy Rodney Parade, Newport

Newport

Tue, Oct 6, 2026

2 - 3

06:00 PM

Plymouth

Our Tip

Match Events

Evans K.

Assist: Smith M.

39'

Watts C.

46'

Sub

Thomas J. In: Jenkins L.

Out: Thomas J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Newport

20%

Draws

48%

Plymouth

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Plymouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence

Plymouth have won more games recently than Newport.
Plymouth are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Plymouth arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Newport, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Newport Clean Sheet 14%

Plymouth Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Newport	Plymouth
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	12	21
Draws	6	5
Losses	13	5
Goals Scored	1.32	2.16
Goals Conceded	1.61	1.19
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 EFL Trophy

Newport vs Plymouth

2:3

Aug 31, 2021 EFL Trophy

Newport vs Plymouth

2:0

Nov 10, 2020 EFL Trophy

Plymouth vs Newport

3:1

Feb 1, 2020 League Two

Plymouth vs Newport

1:0

Aug 17, 2019 League Two

Newport vs Plymouth

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newport Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Plymouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Pepple A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bakinson T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newport 23 / 100

Plymouth 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Newport Plymouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plymouth Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 3:6

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Newport scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Plymouth conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Newport remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newport VS Plymouth

1 Goals Scored 2.38

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Newport

(Home)

06 Oct

Newport

2 : 3

Plymouth

03 Oct

Gillingham

0 : 0

Newport

26 Sept

Newport

2 : 1

Grimsby

22 Sept

Swindon

0 : 2

Newport

19 Sept

Accrington

0 : 0

Newport

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Plymouth

(Away)

06 Oct

Newport

2 : 3

Plymouth

03 Oct

Leyton Orient

0 : 2

Plymouth

26 Sept

Plymouth

0 : 1

Burton

22 Sept

Plymouth

5 : 1

Crystal Palace U21

19 Sept

Blackpool

2 : 4

Plymouth

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