Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newroz vs Al Mosul

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Al Dali A.
39' Event
Hussein M.
Penalty Missed
50' Event
Ridha Jalil M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Newroz
35%
Draws
30%
Al Mosul
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Medium Confidence
  • Newroz have won more games recently than Al Mosul.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Newroz Clean Sheet 16%
Al Mosul Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newroz Al Mosul
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 13
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Mosul
1:1
Feb 6, 2026 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Newroz
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newroz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ridha Jalil M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Mosul Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Dali A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newroz 31 / 100
Al Mosul 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newroz Al Mosul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newroz's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Mosul conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Newroz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newroz VS Al Mosul
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newroz

(Home)
01 Jun
Al Naft
2 : 1
Newroz
27 May
Newroz
1 : 1
Al Mosul
20 May
Newroz
2 : 1
Zakho
16 May
Erbil
0 : 1
Newroz
11 May
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

Al Mosul

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Mosul
3 : 0
Al-Qassim
27 May
Newroz
1 : 1
Al Mosul
20 May
Al Minaa
1 : 0
Al Mosul
15 May
Al Mosul
3 : 3
Duhok
11 May
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)