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Newry City vs Harland & Wolff - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship The Showgrounds, Newry
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AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Newry City and Harland & Wolff finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newry City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Newry City
20%
Draws
22%
Harland & Wolff
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Harland & Wolff carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Newry City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Newry City Clean Sheet 12%
Harland & Wolff Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newry City Harland & Wolff
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.48 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Harland & Wolff
3:2
Feb 22, 2025 NIFL Championship
Harland & Wolff vs Newry City
4:1
Nov 2, 2024 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Harland & Wolff
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 NIFL Championship
Harland & Wolff vs Newry City
2:1
Oct 3, 2023 Irish League Cup
Harland & Wolff vs Newry City
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newry City 83 / 100
Harland & Wolff 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newry City Harland & Wolff

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newry City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newry City's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Harland & Wolff let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Solid form: Newry City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newry City VS Harland & Wolff
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Newry City

(Home)
09 Oct
Newry City
3 : 1
Dundela
03 Oct
Loughgall
2 : 1
Newry City
25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2
Harland & Wolff
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1
Annagh
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Newry City
Page 1 of 6

Harland & Wolff

(Away)
03 Oct
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Rathfriland Rangers
25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2
Harland & Wolff
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Annagh
3 : 1
Harland & Wolff
05 Sept
Moyola
1 : 4
Harland & Wolff
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 10 6 2 2 24:18 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
6 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
7 Newry City 10 4 3 3 16:18 15
8 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
9 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
11 Ards 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
12 Dundela 10 2 5 3 18:20 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 10 2 0 8 9:22 6
16 Armagh 10 0 5 5 8:16 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)