Sport Picks
Newry City vs Warrenpoint - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Northern Ireland
NIFL Championship The Showgrounds, Newry 
AI Match Summary
Warrenpoint in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warrenpoint.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Warrenpoint
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Newry City lately — more wins on the board than Warrenpoint.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Newry City Clean Sheet 13%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newry City | Warrenpoint |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Warrenpoint
0:3
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Newry City vs Warrenpoint
1:0
Jul 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Newry City vs Warrenpoint
0:2
Jan 8, 2022 Irish Cup
Warrenpoint vs Newry City
1:2
Sep 14, 2021 Irish League Cup
Newry City vs Warrenpoint
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newry City 31 / 100
Warrenpoint 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newry City Warrenpoint
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warrenpoint Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newry City's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Warrenpoint's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Newry City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Newry City VS Warrenpoint
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Newry City
(Home) 20 Oct
Carrick Rangers
3 : 0 Newry City
17 Oct
Queens University
1 : 1 Newry City
09 Oct
Newry City
3 : 1 Dundela
03 Oct
Loughgall
2 : 1 Newry City
25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2 Harland & Wolff
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09 Oct
Newry City
3 : 1 Dundela
25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2 Harland & Wolff
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1 Annagh
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2 Armagh
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3 Warrenpoint
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Warrenpoint
(Away) 17 Oct
Ballinamallard
2 : 2 Warrenpoint
10 Oct
Warrenpoint
1 : 0 Strabane Athletic
03 Oct
Warrenpoint
1 : 1 Annagh
25 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2 Warrenpoint
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0 Warrenpoint
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17 Oct
Ballinamallard
2 : 2 Warrenpoint
25 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2 Warrenpoint
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0 Warrenpoint
28 Aug
Loughgall
3 : 3 Warrenpoint
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3 Warrenpoint
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Annagh | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Glenavon | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30:14 | 24 |
| 3 | Newington FC | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27:22 | 23 |
| 4 | Queens University | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21:9 | 20 |
| 5 | Institute | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 20 |
| 6 | Newry City | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 7 | Warrenpoint | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 8 | Ballinamallard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:18 | 18 |
| 9 | Harland & Wolff | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Ards | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Loughgall | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:22 | 14 |
| 12 | Moyola | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:24 | 14 |
| 13 | Rathfriland Rangers | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 12:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Dundela | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19:24 | 11 |
| 15 | Strabane Athletic | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:21 | 10 |
| 16 | Armagh | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10:21 | 5 |
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)
