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Newry City vs Warrenpoint

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship The Showgrounds, Newry
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AI Match Summary

Warrenpoint in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warrenpoint.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Newry City
15%
Draws
37%
Warrenpoint
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Newry City lately — more wins on the board than Warrenpoint.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Newry City Clean Sheet 20%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newry City Warrenpoint
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.35 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.26 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Warrenpoint
0:3
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Newry City vs Warrenpoint
1:0
Jul 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Newry City vs Warrenpoint
0:2
Jan 8, 2022 Irish Cup
Warrenpoint vs Newry City
1:2
Sep 14, 2021 Irish League Cup
Newry City vs Warrenpoint
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newry City 32 / 100
Warrenpoint 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newry City Warrenpoint

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newry City's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Warrenpoint's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Newry City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newry City VS Warrenpoint
1.14 Goals Scored 0.38
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.38
57% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Newry City

(Home)
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3
Newry City
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3
Warrenpoint
15 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 2
Newry City
11 Aug
Newry City
1 : 4
Glenavon
08 Aug
Ballinamallard
0 : 1
Newry City
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Warrenpoint

(Away)
28 Aug
Loughgall
3 : 3
Warrenpoint
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3
Warrenpoint
15 Aug
Warrenpoint
1 : 3
Ards
11 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0
Armagh
08 Aug
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0
Warrenpoint
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newington FC 5 4 1 0 14:5 13
2 Harland & Wolff 5 4 0 1 9:3 12
3 Glenavon 5 3 1 1 14:8 10
4 Queens University 5 3 1 1 11:5 10
5 Annagh 5 3 1 1 12:9 10
6 Loughgall 5 2 3 0 10:7 9
7 Newry City 5 3 0 2 7:9 9
8 Ards 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
9 Warrenpoint 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
10 Moyola 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
11 Ballinamallard 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
12 Institute 5 1 1 3 4:9 4
13 Dundela 5 0 3 2 7:10 3
14 Strabane Athletic 5 1 0 4 6:10 3
15 Armagh 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Rathfriland Rangers 5 0 0 5 5:16 0
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)