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Newton Stewart vs Auchinleck Talbot - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Thomson E.
Assist: Clark R.
8' Event
Crooks C.
Assist: Gillies L.
14' Event
Boyd C.
Assist: Sime A.

AI Match Summary

Auchinleck Talbot in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 0-9 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auchinleck Talbot.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Newton Stewart
15%
Draws
57%
Auchinleck Talbot
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auchinleck Talbot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Auchinleck Talbot have won more games recently than Newton Stewart.
  • Auchinleck Talbot are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Newton Stewart Clean Sheet 10%
Auchinleck Talbot Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newton Stewart Auchinleck Talbot
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 2 18
Draws 4 1
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.86 2.13
Goals Conceded 3.64 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Lowland League
Newton Stewart vs Auchinleck Talbot
0:9

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newton Stewart Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Auchinleck Talbot Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyd C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Thomson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newton Stewart 10 / 100
Auchinleck Talbot 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newton Stewart Auchinleck Talbot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auchinleck Talbot Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Auchinleck Talbot conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Auchinleck Talbot's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Newton Stewart found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (22 games).

Scoring Trends

Newton Stewart VS Auchinleck Talbot
0.88 Goals Scored 3.88
4.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Newton Stewart

(Home)
03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3
Johnstone Burgh
26 Sept
Caledonian Braves
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1
Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5
Troon FC
29 Aug
Cumnock Juniors
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
Page 1 of 5

Auchinleck Talbot

(Away)
02 Oct
Cumnock Juniors
2 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
26 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
4 : 0
Cumnock Juniors
22 Sept
Kilwinning Rangers
3 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
16 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
12 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
3 : 1
Caledonian Braves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)