Sport Picks
Newton Stewart vs Dalbeattie Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Lowland League 
Match Events
29'
29'
Woods D.
Assist: Carmichael D.
64'
64'
Whyte M.
Assist: Drysdale R.
86'
86'
Mitchell H.
Assist: McClorey M.
AI Match Summary
The Lowland League game between Newton Stewart and Dalbeattie Star finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newton Stewart.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newton Stewart
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Newton Stewart come out ahead of Dalbeattie Star on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Newton Stewart's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Newton Stewart Clean Sheet 10%
Dalbeattie Star Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newton Stewart | Dalbeattie Star |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 25 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.64 | 4.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Lowland League
Newton Stewart vs Dalbeattie Star
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newton Stewart Compare
Top Goalscorer Whyte M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mitchell H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Dalbeattie Star Compare
Top Goalscorer Woods D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newton Stewart 47 / 100
Dalbeattie Star 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newton Stewart Dalbeattie Star
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newton Stewart Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dalbeattie Star has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.
Dalbeattie Star's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Newton Stewart scored in 59% of their last 22 outings.
Scoring Trends
Newton Stewart VS Dalbeattie Star
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
4.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Newton Stewart
(Home) 03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3 Johnstone Burgh
26 Sept
Caledonian Braves
5 : 0 Newton Stewart
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1 Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5 Troon FC
29 Aug
Cumnock Juniors
5 : 0 Newton Stewart
Page 1 of 5
03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3 Johnstone Burgh
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1 Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5 Troon FC
08 Aug
Newton Stewart
2 : 2 Pollok
01 Aug
Newton Stewart
0 : 9 Auchinleck Talbot
Page 1 of 2
Dalbeattie Star
(Away) 03 Oct
Strathspey Thistle
3 : 2 Dalbeattie Star
26 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5 Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1 Dalbeattie Star
15 Sept
Celtic B
2 : 0 Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 6 Cumnock Juniors
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Strathspey Thistle
3 : 2 Dalbeattie Star
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1 Dalbeattie Star
15 Sept
Celtic B
2 : 0 Dalbeattie Star
29 Aug
Johnstone Burgh
4 : 0 Dalbeattie Star
22 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 2 Dalbeattie Star
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tranent FC | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 18:5 | 25 |
| 2 | Linlithgow Rose | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Brechin | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20:10 | 22 |
| 4 | Broxburn Athletic | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 22 |
| 5 | Hill Of Beath | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 18 |
| 7 | Lochee United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:16 | 17 |
| 8 | Civil Service Strollers | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 9 | Boness United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 10 | East Stirlingshire | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:21 | 10 |
| 11 | Cowdenbeath | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:15 | 9 |
| 12 | Musselburgh | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:15 | 9 |
| 13 | Berwick | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | 5 |
| 14 | Dunipace | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 15 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:22 | 3 |
| 16 | Stirling University | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11:27 | 3 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilwinning Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 35:15 | 27 |
| 2 | Pollok | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Largs Thistle | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Auchinleck Talbot | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 35:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Clydebank FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:18 | 20 |
| 6 | Caledonian Braves | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 31:21 | 19 |
| 7 | Johnstone Burgh | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 8 | Celtic B | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 28:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Cumnock Juniors | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 25:18 | 17 |
| 10 | Troon FC | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 20:23 | 12 |
| 11 | Cumbernauld Colts | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20:23 | 10 |
| 12 | Gretna 2008 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 25:33 | 10 |
| 13 | Beith | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:28 | 9 |
| 14 | Albion Rovers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:21 | 8 |
| 15 | Renfrew | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18:29 | 7 |
| 16 | Newton Stewart | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:37 | 4 |
| 17 | Dalbeattie Star | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6:35 | 1 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
