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Newtown vs Bangor 1876 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Newtown Logo

Newtown

Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Bangor 1876 Logo

Bangor 1876

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Newtown host Bangor 1876 in the Cymru North. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Newtown at 1.53 goals for, 1.47 against; Bangor 1876 at 1.9 for, 2 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.69 - 1.44) back Newtown to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Newtown
15%
Draws
21%
Bangor 1876
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Bangor 1876 haven't matched Newtown's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Newtown taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Newtown Clean Sheet 16%
Bangor 1876 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newtown Bangor 1876
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 3 1
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.53 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newtown 66 / 100
Bangor 1876 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newtown Bangor 1876

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newtown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bangor 1876 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Newtown's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Newtown remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Bangor 1876's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Newtown VS Bangor 1876
2 Goals Scored 2.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Newtown

(Home)
03 Oct
Mold Alexandra
1 : 2
Newtown
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
Page 1 of 6

Bangor 1876

(Away)
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Bangor 1876
25 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 6
Buckley
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 2
Rhyl
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1
Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 10 9 0 1 26:6 27
2 Newtown 9 7 1 1 18:3 22
3 Mold Alexandra 10 6 2 2 24:13 20
4 Porthmadog 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Bala 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Caersws FC 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
7 Bangor 1876 10 5 1 4 23:18 16
8 Guilsfield 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
9 Buckley 10 3 3 4 22:17 12
10 Llanuwchllyn 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
11 Rhyl 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
12 Ruthin Town 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
13 Denbigh 10 2 1 7 18:23 7
14 Holyhead 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
15 Gresford 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
16 Penrhyncoch 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)