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Newtown vs OJM

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Sat, Jul 13, 2024
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newtown host OJM in the Club Friendly 2024. Newtown go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Newtown at 1.55 goals for, 1.45 against; OJM at 1 for, 3 against. Past meetings favor Newtown slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 13, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 1.25) point toward Newtown. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Newtown
25%
Draws
35%
OJM
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Newtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Newtown have won more games recently than OJM.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Newtown taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Newtown Clean Sheet 19%
OJM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newtown OJM
Matches Played 29 1
Wins 14 0
Draws 3 0
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 1.55 1
Goals Conceded 1.45 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Newtown vs OJM
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newtown 85 / 100
OJM 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newtown OJM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newtown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OJM's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 1 matches.

Newtown's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Newtown remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Newtown VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Newtown

(Home)
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
28 Aug
Newtown
4 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
Page 1 of 6

OJM

(Away)
16 Aug
OJM
1 : 3
Lichfield City