Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newtowne FC vs Lisburn Distillery

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lisburn Distillery in this Irish Cup 2017/2018 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Newtowne FC
39%
Draws
31%
Lisburn Distillery
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Lisburn Distillery have won more games recently than Newtowne FC.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Lisburn Distillery arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lisburn Distillery, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Newtowne FC Clean Sheet 18%
Lisburn Distillery Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newtowne FC Lisburn Distillery
Matches Played 16 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 0 1
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2017 Irish Cup
Newtowne FC vs Lisburn Distillery
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newtowne FC 31 / 100
Lisburn Distillery 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newtowne FC Lisburn Distillery

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Newtowne FC scored in 80% of their last 15 outings.

Lisburn Distillery has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Newtowne FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lisburn Distillery
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 3.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Newtowne FC

(Home)
28 Sept
Newtowne FC
0 : 2
Newington FC
17 Aug
Newtowne FC
:
Drumaness
03 Nov
Newtowne FC
1 : 2
Rosemount Rec
29 Sept
Newtowne FC
1 : 0
Ballynahinch Olympic
18 Aug
Newtowne FC
6 : 3
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
Page 1 of 4

Lisburn Distillery

(Away)
13 Jan
Warrenpoint
4 : 3
Lisburn Distillery
22 Nov
Lisburn Distillery
4 : 2
Finaghy FC
07 Oct
Bangor FC
4 : 1
Lisburn Distillery
12 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
3 : 2
Banbridge
22 Jul
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 2
Harland & Wolff
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Foundry-
TBD-
St. Marys1
Bryansburn3
Cookstown Youth-
TBD-
Bloomfield1
Craigavon City3
Newtowne FC3
Bangor Amateurs FC0
TBD-
Desertmartin-
Newington FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Lisburn Distillery-
Knockbreda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Institute-
Ballyclare-
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Portadown-
Lurgan Celtic-
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Glentoran-
Ballymena-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballywalter Recreation-
TBD-
Seapatrick1
Ballynure Old Boys4
Islandmagee4
Fivemiletown1
Iveagh Utd0
Ards Rangers9
Laurelvale6
Broomhedge1
Bangor Old Boys2
Tullyvallen Rangers3
Downshire Y.M.3
Malachians2
TBD-
Moyola-
Immaculata3
Abbey Villa0
Seagoe1
Larne Technical Old Boys12
Rosario Youth-
Ballynahinch United-
TBD-
Brantwood-
Valley Rangers5
Oxford Sunnyside0
Magherafelt-
Colin Valley-
Donegal-
TBD-
Silverwood2
Crumlin United3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Dundela-
TBD-
Richhill2
Ardstraw10
Windmill2
St. James' Swifts1
TBD-
Sport & Leisure-
Rathfriland Rangers8
Barn3
Dunmurry Y.M.0
Orangefield Old Boys'3
Strabane Athletic-
TBD-
TBD-
Newcastle-
Killyleagh Youth5
Newbuildings1
Moneyslane FC1
Sirocco4
Dunmurry Rec4
Dromore Amateurs0
TBD-
Tobermore-
Banbridge-
TBD-
Cookstown RBL1
Dromara2
Dungiven3
Suffolk2
TBD-
Queens University-
Dergview-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Larne-
Cliftonville-
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TBD-
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Maiden City3
Dollingstown1
Groomsport1
Lurgan Town Boys3
Lisburn Rangers5
Rathfern Rangers4
Saintfield2
Tandragee4
Portaferry Rovers3
Ballynahinch Olympic1
TBD-
Mossley FC-
Dunloy3
Banbridge Rangers1
TBD-
Portstewart-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
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Crusaders-
Newry City-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Harland & Wolff-
Glebe2
Bangor FC0
St Luke's1
Rosemount Rec3
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys3
Comber Rec2
TBD-
U. U. Jordanstown-
St. Patricks Young2
Lower Maze1
TBD-
Wellington Rec-
Markethill2
Grove1
TBD-
Annagh-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Linfield-
Glenavon-
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Carrick Rangers-
Limavady-
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TBD-
Dungannon-
Ards-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shankill4
Ballymacash3
Bourneview Mill1
Derriaghy3
Drumaness3
Crewe2
Chimney2
Hanover8
Armagh-
TBD-
Ballymoney1
Coagh Utd6
Oxford Stars4
Trojans3
Shorts1
Crumlin Star9
PSNI-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
Loughgall-
1/128-finals
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Foundry4
Bryansburn3
Cookstown Youth6
Craigavon City7
Newtowne FC4
Desertmartin2
Newington FC0
Lisburn Distillery3
Knockbreda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Institute-
Ballyclare-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Portadown-
Lurgan Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballywalter Recreation6
Ballynure Old Boys3
Islandmagee1
Ards Rangers2
Laurelvale5
Tullyvallen Rangers2
Downshire Y.M.1
Moyola10
Immaculata2
Larne Technical Old Boys1
Rosario Youth4
Brantwood0
Valley Rangers4
Colin Valley1
Donegal0
Crumlin United2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Dundela6
Ardstraw2
Windmill0
Sport & Leisure2
Rathfriland Rangers4
Orangefield Old Boys'1
Strabane Athletic1
Newcastle3
Killyleagh Youth2
Sirocco0
Dunmurry Rec0
Tobermore7
Banbridge1
Dromara0
Dungiven2
Queens University7
Dergview-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Maiden City7
Lurgan Town Boys1
Lisburn Rangers2
Tandragee3
Portaferry Rovers2
Mossley FC0
Dunloy1
Portstewart2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
Newry City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Harland & Wolff-
Glebe3
Rosemount Rec0
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys1
U. U. Jordanstown2
St. Patricks Young3
Wellington Rec2
Markethill2
Annagh4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Linfield-
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Carrick Rangers-
Limavady-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Ards-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shankill2
Derriaghy1
Drumaness0
Hanover2
Armagh2
Coagh Utd0
Oxford Stars0
Crumlin Star5
PSNI-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Loughgall-
1/64-finals
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Foundry4
Craigavon City1
Newtowne FC0
Lisburn Distillery2
Knockbreda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Institute-
Ballyclare-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Portadown-
Lurgan Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballywalter Recreation3
Ards Rangers2
Laurelvale0
Moyola5
Immaculata3
Brantwood1
Valley Rangers0
Crumlin United2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Dundela2
Sport & Leisure0
Rathfriland Rangers0
Newcastle3
Killyleagh Youth3
Tobermore1
Banbridge1
Queens University2
Dergview-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Maiden City2
Tandragee1
Portaferry Rovers1
Portstewart2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
Newry City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Harland & Wolff-
Glebe11
U. U. Jordanstown0
St. Patricks Young2
Annagh5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Linfield-
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Carrick Rangers-
Limavady-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Ards-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shankill3
Hanover2
Armagh1
Crumlin Star2
PSNI-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Loughgall-
1/32-finals
Coleraine-
TBD-
Foundry1
Lisburn Distillery3
Knockbreda-
TBD-
TBD-
Institute-
Ballyclare-
TBD-
TBD-
Portadown-
Lurgan Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Ballymena-
TBD-
Ballywalter Recreation0
Moyola2
Immaculata4
Crumlin United2
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Dundela5
Newcastle0
Killyleagh Youth1
Queens University3
Dergview-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Maiden City2
Portstewart1
TBD-
Crusaders-
Newry City-
TBD-
TBD-
Harland & Wolff-
Glebe2
Annagh1
TBD-
Linfield-
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
Carrick Rangers-
Limavady-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Ards-
TBD-
Shankill0
Crumlin Star4
PSNI-
TBD-
TBD-
Loughgall-
1/16-finals
Coleraine7
Lisburn Distillery0
Knockbreda0
Institute2
Ballyclare2
Portadown1
Lurgan Celtic1
Glentoran2
Ballymena4
Moyola0
Immaculata2
Ballinamallard4
Dundela1
Queens University0
Dergview0
Larne3
Cliftonville4
Warrenpoint3
Maiden City0
Crusaders2
Newry City2
Harland & Wolff0
Glebe0
Linfield5
Glenavon3
Carrick Rangers1
Limavady0
Dungannon4
Ards4
Crumlin Star1
PSNI1
Loughgall4
1/8-finals
Coleraine4
Institute0
Ballyclare0
Glentoran4
Ballymena3
Ballinamallard2
Dundela1
Larne6
Cliftonville4
Crusaders1
Newry City0
Linfield1
Glenavon3
Dungannon0
Ards1
Loughgall2
Quarter-finals
Coleraine1
Glentoran0
Ballymena1
Larne2
Cliftonville1
Linfield0
Glenavon1
Loughgall2
Semi-finals
Coleraine3
Larne1
Cliftonville4
Loughgall1
Final
Coleraine3
Cliftonville1