Sport Picks

Burundi

Primus League

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ngozi City host Garage Express in the Primus League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Garage Express have shipped 3.38 goals a game lately, while Ngozi City have conceded 1.5 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Ngozi City slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (2.69 - 1.06) back Ngozi City to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Ngozi City

17%

Draws

13%

Garage Express

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ngozi City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Ngozi City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Garage Express.
Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Ngozi City.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Primus League provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Ngozi City Clean Sheet 20%

Garage Express Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ngozi City	Garage Express
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	9	3
Draws	9	9
Losses	14	18
Goals Scored	2	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.5	3.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Primus League

Ngozi City vs Garage Express

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

5:1

Sep 27, 2025 Primus League

Garage Express vs Ngozi City

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ngozi City 67 / 100

Garage Express 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ngozi City Garage Express

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NGO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ngozi City scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Garage Express let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ngozi City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Garage Express lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ngozi City VS Garage Express

2 Goals Scored 0.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 3.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aigle Noir	30	21	8	1	62:25	71
2	Musongati	30	17	8	5	42:21	59
3	Flambeau du Centre	30	16	8	6	42:23	56
4	Royal Vision	30	17	2	11	47:31	53
5	Rukinzo	30	14	8	8	49:28	50
6	Vital'O	30	14	8	8	45:27	50
7	Bumamuru	30	14	7	9	47:33	49
8	Muzinga	30	11	10	9	37:38	43
9	Olympic Star	30	10	9	11	36:35	39
10	Kayanza United	30	8	12	10	40:45	36
11	Le Messager Ngozi	30	8	9	13	31:33	33
12	Ngozi City	30	8	9	13	37:43	33
13	Inter Star	30	8	8	14	37:42	32
14	Dynamik	30	8	5	17	35:58	29
15	Garage Express	30	3	9	18	15:61	18
16	Green Farmers	30	1	4	25	25:84	7