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Ngozi City vs Garage Express

Burundi Burundi

Primus League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ngozi City in this Primus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ngozi City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ngozi City
15%
Draws
21%
Garage Express
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ngozi City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Garage Express haven't matched Ngozi City's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ngozi City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ngozi City Clean Sheet 20%
Garage Express Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ngozi City Garage Express
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.35 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Garage Express
5:1
Sep 27, 2025 Primus League
Garage Express vs Ngozi City
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ngozi City 85 / 100
Garage Express 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ngozi City Garage Express

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ngozi City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ngozi City found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Garage Express has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ngozi City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ngozi City VS Garage Express
1.5 Goals Scored 0.6
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 60%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Ngozi City

(Home)
27 Sept
Ngozi City
1 : 0
Kayanza United
30 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 1
Inter Star
23 Aug
Vital'O
2 : 1
Ngozi City
16 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 0
Young Star
09 May
Olympic Star
4 : 0
Ngozi City
Page 1 of 7

Garage Express

(Away)
09 May
Aigle Noir
1 : 0
Garage Express
25 Apr
Dynamik
3 : 0
Garage Express
11 Apr
Garage Express
1 : 3
Muzinga
21 Mar
Flambeau du Centre
3 : 1
Garage Express
16 Mar
Garage Express
1 : 0
Bumamuru
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aigle Noir 30 21 8 1 62:25 71
2 Musongati 30 17 8 5 42:21 59
3 Flambeau du Centre 30 16 8 6 42:23 56
4 Royal Vision 30 17 2 11 47:31 53
5 Rukinzo 30 14 8 8 49:28 50
6 Vital'O 30 14 8 8 45:27 50
7 Bumamuru 30 14 7 9 47:33 49
8 Muzinga 30 11 10 9 37:38 43
9 Olympic Star 30 10 9 11 36:35 39
10 Kayanza United 30 8 12 10 40:45 36
11 Le Messager Ngozi 30 8 9 13 31:33 33
12 Ngozi City 30 8 9 13 37:43 33
13 Inter Star 30 8 8 14 37:42 32
14 Dynamik 30 8 5 17 35:58 29
15 Garage Express 30 3 9 18 15:61 18
16 Green Farmers 30 1 4 25 25:84 7
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)