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Ngozi City vs Musongati

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primus League game between Ngozi City and Musongati finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Musongati.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ngozi City
6%
Draws
90%
Musongati
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Musongati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Musongati come out ahead of Ngozi City on wins alone.
  • Musongati are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Musongati have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ngozi City Clean Sheet 20%
Musongati Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ngozi City Musongati
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 2.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Musongati
2:4
Aug 24, 2025 Primus League
Musongati vs Ngozi City
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Musongati
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Primus League
Musongati vs Ngozi City
2:0
Jan 25, 2020 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Musongati
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ngozi City 10 / 100
Musongati 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ngozi City Musongati

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ngozi City's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Musongati let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Ngozi City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ngozi City VS Musongati
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 25%
88% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aigle Noir30218162:2571
2Musongati30178542:2159
3Flambeau du Centre30168642:2356
4Royal Vision301721147:3153
5Rukinzo30148849:2850
6Vital'O30148845:2750
7Bumamuru30147947:3349
8Muzinga301110937:3843
9Olympic Star301091136:3539
10Kayanza United308121040:4536
11Le Messager Ngozi30891331:3333
12Ngozi City30891337:4333
13Inter Star30881437:4232
14Dynamik30851735:5829
15Garage Express30391815:6118
16Green Farmers30142525:847