Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ngozi City vs Young Star

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ngozi City in this Primus League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ngozi City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Ngozi City
22%
Draws
12%
Young Star
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ngozi City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ngozi City lately — more wins on the board than Young Star.
  • 66% — that's where the model lands on Ngozi City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ngozi City Clean Sheet 20%
Young Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ngozi City Young Star
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 10 0
Draws 7 1
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.33 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Young Star
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ngozi City 85 / 100
Young Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ngozi City Young Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ngozi City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ngozi City scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Young Star conceded in 75% of 4 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Ngozi City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ngozi City VS Young Star
1.5 Goals Scored 0.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Ngozi City

(Home)
30 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 1
Inter Star
23 Aug
Vital'O
2 : 1
Ngozi City
16 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 0
Young Star
09 May
Olympic Star
4 : 0
Ngozi City
05 May
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Ngozi City
Page 1 of 6

Young Star

(Away)
19 Sept
Young Star
1 : 5
Royal Vision
30 Aug
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Young Star
19 Aug
Young Star
0 : 0
Kayanza United
16 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 0
Young Star

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Vision 4 3 1 0 9:3 10
2 Muzinga 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Vital'O 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
4 Aigle Noir 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
5 Le Messager Ngozi 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
6 Ngozi City 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
7 Rukinzo 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Olympic Star 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
9 Never Give Up Academy 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Bumamuru 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
11 Kayanza United 3 0 3 0 1:1 3
12 Flambeau du Centre 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
13 Inter Star 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
14 Panthere Noir 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 Musongati 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
16 Young Star 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)