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NGU Nagoya W vs Shizuoka Bonita W

Japan Japan

Nadeshiko League Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Fuchigami N.
43' Event
Mizuno A.
47' Event
Mizuno A.

AI Match Summary

NGU Nagoya W in this Nadeshiko League Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored NGU Nagoya W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
NGU Nagoya W
17%
Draws
13%
Shizuoka Bonita W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: NGU Nagoya W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • NGU Nagoya W have won more games recently than Shizuoka Bonita W.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on NGU Nagoya W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors NGU Nagoya W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
NGU Nagoya W Clean Sheet 16%
Shizuoka Bonita W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NGU Nagoya W Shizuoka Bonita W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 21 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.88 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Nadeshiko League Women
NGU Nagoya W vs Shizuoka Bonita W
3:0
Oct 12, 2025 Nadeshiko League Women
NGU Nagoya W vs Shizuoka Bonita W
3:1
Mar 16, 2025 Nadeshiko League Women
Shizuoka Bonita W vs NGU Nagoya W
1:2
Jun 8, 2024 Nadeshiko League Women
NGU Nagoya W vs Shizuoka Bonita W
2:3
Mar 30, 2024 Nadeshiko League Women
Shizuoka Bonita W vs NGU Nagoya W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NGU Nagoya W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mizuno A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fuchigami N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Shizuoka Bonita W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NGU Nagoya W 66 / 100
Shizuoka Bonita W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NGU Nagoya W Shizuoka Bonita W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: NGU Nagoya W scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

NGU Nagoya W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Shizuoka Bonita W let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

NGU Nagoya W VS Shizuoka Bonita W
2.88 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

NGU Nagoya W

(Home)
28 Jun
NGU Nagoya W
0 : 0
VONDS Ichihara W
20 Jun
Ehime W
0 : 6
NGU Nagoya W
13 Jun
NGU Nagoya W
2 : 1
Kunoichi W
07 Jun
Miyazaki W
0 : 2
NGU Nagoya W
23 May
NGU Nagoya W
2 : 0
Okayama Yunogo W
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Shizuoka Bonita W

(Away)
28 Jun
AS Harima Albio W
0 : 5
Shizuoka Bonita W
21 Jun
Shizuoka Bonita W
0 : 1
Kunoichi W
13 Jun
Nittaidai W
0 : 5
Shizuoka Bonita W
07 Jun
Shizuoka Bonita W
1 : 2
Setagaya Sfida FC W
23 May
VONDS Ichihara W
1 : 5
Shizuoka Bonita W
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