Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Nazon D.
33'
33'
Reyes C.
35'
35'
Jean Jacques D.
Assist: Bellegarde J.
AI Match Summary
Haiti in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Haiti.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haiti
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Haiti have won more games recently than Nicaragua.
- Haiti are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Haiti here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Nicaragua Clean Sheet 13%
Haiti Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nicaragua | Haiti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 2.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 19, 2025 World Championship
Haiti vs Nicaragua
2:0
Oct 10, 2025 World Championship
Nicaragua vs Haiti
0:3
Jun 8, 2021 World Championship
Haiti vs Nicaragua
1:0
Jun 20, 2019 Gold Cup
Nicaragua vs Haiti
0:2
Nov 18, 2018 CONCACAF Nations League
Nicaragua vs Haiti
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nicaragua Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Haiti Compare
Top Goalscorer Nazon D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jean Jacques D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nicaragua 14 / 100
Haiti 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nicaragua Haiti
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Haiti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Haiti let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Haiti lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Nicaragua scored in 57% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Nicaragua VS Haiti
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nicaragua
(Home) 28 Sept
Curacao
6 : 1 Nicaragua
25 Sept
Dominican Republic
3 : 2 Nicaragua
05 Jun
Paraguay
4 : 0 Nicaragua
29 May
South Africa
0 : 0 Nicaragua
27 Mar
Russia
3 : 1 Nicaragua
Page 1 of 6
14 Nov
Nicaragua
2 : 0 Honduras
10 Oct
Nicaragua
0 : 3 Haiti
06 Sept
Nicaragua
1 : 1 Costa Rica
07 Jun
Nicaragua
1 : 0 Guyana
26 Mar
Nicaragua
0 : 1 Guadeloupe
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Haiti
(Away) 27 Sept
Haiti
2 : 0 Costa Rica
25 Sept
Haiti
3 : 2 Trinidad & Tobago
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2 Haiti
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0 Haiti
14 Jun
Haiti
0 : 1 Scotland
Page 1 of 6
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2 Haiti
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0 Haiti
14 Oct
Honduras
3 : 0 Haiti
10 Oct
Nicaragua
0 : 3 Haiti
10 Sept
Costa Rica
3 : 3 Haiti
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panama | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Suriname | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Guatemala | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 4 | El Salvador | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | 3 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Trinidad & Tobago | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Bermuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:23 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 2 | Honduras | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Nicaragua | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
