Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Nacional de Futbol

Nicaragua

2 - 0

Honduras

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Hernandez B.

Assist: Moreno Ciorciari J. J.

56'

Velásquez A.

62'

Sub

Benguche J. In: Ramirez Arauz M. R.

Out: Benguche J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Nicaragua and Honduras finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nicaragua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Nicaragua

17%

Draws

70%

Honduras

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Honduras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Honduras carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Honduras a 70% chance of winning this.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%

Nicaragua Clean Sheet 16%

Honduras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nicaragua	Honduras
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	11	15
Draws	6	7
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	0.63	1
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 World Championship

Nicaragua vs Honduras

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Sep 10, 2025 World Championship

Honduras vs Nicaragua

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Oct 10, 2020 Friendly International

Honduras vs Nicaragua

Possession: 57% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Mar 16, 2017 Friendly International

Honduras vs Nicaragua

Possession: 60% - 60% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Jan 13, 2017 Copa Centroamericana

Honduras vs Nicaragua

Possession: 51% - 40% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nicaragua Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Moreno Ciorciari J. J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Honduras Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nicaragua 15 / 100

Honduras 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nicaragua Honduras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HON Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Nicaragua scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Honduras let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Nicaragua remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nicaragua VS Honduras

0.63 Goals Scored 1

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Panama	6	3	3	0	9:4	12
2	Suriname	6	2	3	1	9:6	9
3	Guatemala	6	2	2	2	8:7	8
4	El Salvador	6	1	0	5	2:11	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Curacao	6	3	3	0	13:3	12
2	Jamaica	6	3	2	1	11:3	11
3	Trinidad & Tobago	6	1	4	1	7:6	7
4	Bermuda	6	0	1	5	4:23	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Haiti	6	3	2	1	9:6	11
2	Honduras	6	2	3	1	5:2	9
3	Costa Rica	6	1	4	1	8:6	7
4	Nicaragua	6	1	1	4	4:12	4