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Nicaragua vs Honduras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Nacional de Futbol, Managua
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Hernandez B.
Assist: Moreno Ciorciari J. J.
56'
Velasquez A.
62'
Sub
Benguche J. In: Ramirez Arauz M. R.
Out: Benguche J.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Nicaragua and Honduras finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nicaragua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Nicaragua
15%
Draws
85%
Honduras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Honduras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Honduras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Honduras a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Nicaragua Clean Sheet 13%
Honduras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nicaragua Honduras
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 World Championship
Nicaragua vs Honduras
2:0
Sep 10, 2025 World Championship
Honduras vs Nicaragua
2:0
Oct 10, 2020 Friendly International
Honduras vs Nicaragua
1:1
Mar 16, 2017 Friendly International
Honduras vs Nicaragua
2:0
Jan 13, 2017 Copa Centroamericana
Honduras vs Nicaragua
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nicaragua Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno Ciorciari J. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Honduras Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nicaragua 10 / 100
Honduras 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nicaragua Honduras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honduras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Difficult form: Honduras registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Nicaragua scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Honduras conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nicaragua VS Honduras
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nicaragua

(Home)
05 Oct
Nicaragua
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
02 Oct
Nicaragua
0 : 3
Costa Rica
28 Sept
Curacao
6 : 1
Nicaragua
25 Sept
Dominican Republic
3 : 2
Nicaragua
05 Jun
Paraguay
4 : 0
Nicaragua
Page 1 of 6

Honduras

(Away)
06 Oct
Honduras
1 : 1
Jamaica
03 Oct
Martinique
2 : 1
Honduras
29 Sept
Jamaica
0 : 1
Honduras
26 Sept
Honduras
2 : 3
Suriname
07 Jun
Argentina
2 : 0
Honduras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
2 Suriname 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 Guatemala 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
4 El Salvador 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 6 3 3 0 13:3 12
2 Jamaica 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
3 Trinidad & Tobago 6 1 4 1 7:6 7
4 Bermuda 6 0 1 5 4:23 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
2 Honduras 6 2 3 1 5:2 9
3 Costa Rica 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
4 Nicaragua 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)