Sport Picks
Nicaragua vs Montserrat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 
Match Events
13'
13'
Brooks-Meade C.
38'
38'
Perez J.
43'
43'
Coronel L.
Assist: Hernandez B.
AI Match Summary
Nicaragua in this CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nicaragua.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montserrat
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Montserrat have won more games recently than Nicaragua.
- Montserrat are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Nicaragua have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Nicaragua Clean Sheet 10%
Montserrat Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nicaragua | Montserrat |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 16 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.72 | 2.04 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 6, 2024 World Championship
Nicaragua vs Montserrat
4:1
Oct 17, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Nicaragua vs Montserrat
3:0
Oct 13, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Montserrat vs Nicaragua
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nicaragua Compare
Top Goalscorer Perez J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Coronel L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36
Montserrat Compare
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.13
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nicaragua 10 / 100
Montserrat 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nicaragua Montserrat
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montserrat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.
Montserrat has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Nicaragua scored in 58% of their last 31 games.
Difficult form: Montserrat registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nicaragua VS Montserrat
0.63 Goals Scored 2.2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.8
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
Nicaragua
(Home) 05 Oct
Nicaragua
1 : 2 Dominican Republic
02 Oct
Nicaragua
0 : 3 Costa Rica
28 Sept
Curacao
6 : 1 Nicaragua
25 Sept
Dominican Republic
3 : 2 Nicaragua
05 Jun
Paraguay
4 : 0 Nicaragua
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05 Oct
Nicaragua
1 : 2 Dominican Republic
02 Oct
Nicaragua
0 : 3 Costa Rica
14 Nov
Nicaragua
2 : 0 Honduras
10 Oct
Nicaragua
0 : 3 Haiti
06 Sept
Nicaragua
1 : 1 Costa Rica
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Montserrat
(Away) 06 Oct
Montserrat
4 : 1 Turks and Caicos Islands
01 Oct
British Virgin Islands
0 : 2 Montserrat
26 Sept
Montserrat
3 : 0 British Virgin Islands
23 Sept
Turks and Caicos Islands
0 : 2 Montserrat
11 Jun
Guyana
3 : 0 Montserrat
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
British Virgin Islands
0 : 2 Montserrat
23 Sept
Turks and Caicos Islands
0 : 2 Montserrat
11 Jun
Guyana
3 : 0 Montserrat
18 Nov
El Salvador
1 : 0 Montserrat
10 Oct
Bonaire
0 : 1 Montserrat
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadeloupe | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicaragua | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Montserrat | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 4 | Barbados | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7:26 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | French Guiana | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 3 | Bermuda | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Belize | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | 7 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guyana | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 3 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:22 | 4 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7:21 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
