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Nicaragua W vs Honduras W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Aguilar D.
16' Event
Puerto L.
51' Event
Aguilar D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Nicaragua W
15%
Draws
37%
Honduras W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nicaragua W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Nicaragua W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nicaragua W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Nicaragua W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nicaragua W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Nicaragua W Clean Sheet 20%
Honduras W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nicaragua W Honduras W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2.45 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Nicaragua W vs Honduras W
2:1
Sep 26, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Honduras W vs Nicaragua W
1:1
Oct 8, 2011 Olympic Games Women
Nicaragua W vs Honduras W
0:1
Apr 26, 2010 CONCACAF Championship Women
Nicaragua W vs Honduras W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nicaragua W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilar D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Honduras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Puerto L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nicaragua W 85 / 100
Honduras W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nicaragua W Honduras W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nicaragua W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nicaragua W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Honduras W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Nicaragua W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nicaragua W VS Honduras W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nicaragua W

(Home)
19 Apr
Nicaragua W
14 : 0
Dominica W
03 Mar
Nicaragua W
2 : 3
Jamaica W
02 Dec
Guyana W
1 : 3
Nicaragua W
27 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda W
0 : 4
Nicaragua W
29 Oct
Guatemala W
4 : 0
Nicaragua W
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Honduras W

(Away)
18 Apr
Honduras W
4 : 0
Barbados W
05 Mar
Honduras W
2 : 2
Trinidad & Tobago W
03 Dec
El Salvador W
3 : 0
Honduras W
01 Jun
Honduras W
1 : 0
Dominican Republic W
29 May
Honduras W
2 : 4
Dominican Republic W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guyana W 6 5 0 1 20:2 15
2 Suriname W 6 4 0 2 17:2 12
3 Antigua and Barbuda W 6 1 1 4 3:8 4
4 Dominica W 6 1 1 4 2:30 4
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador W 6 6 0 0 24:2 18
2 Martinique W 6 2 1 3 7:15 7
3 Nicaragua W 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
4 Honduras W 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dominican Republic W 6 5 0 1 24:3 15
2 Bermuda W 6 4 1 1 14:5 13
3 Barbados W 6 1 1 4 11:19 4
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W 6 1 0 5 4:26 3
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)