Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nice vs AS Roma

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Allianz Riviera, Nice
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Kone M.
41'
El Aynaoui N.
41'
Ndicka E.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League 2025/2026 game between Nice and AS Roma finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Roma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Nice
35%
Draws
53%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AS Roma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Roma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AS Roma a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Nice Clean Sheet 12%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice AS Roma
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 Europa League
Nice vs AS Roma
1:2
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
AS Roma vs Nice
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

AS Roma Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndicka E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mancini G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice 10 / 100
AS Roma 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice AS Roma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Roma let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Nice has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Nice scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nice VS AS Roma
0.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice

(Home)
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
30 Aug
Paris FC
3 : 0
Nice
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
15 Aug
Hull City
0 : 0
Nice
Page 1 of 6

AS Roma

(Away)
14 Sept
Torino
0 : 2
AS Roma
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1
Atalanta
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4
AS Roma
24 Aug
AS Roma
4 : 0
Fiorentina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyon 8 7 0 1 18:5 21
2 Aston Villa 8 7 0 1 14:6 21
3 Midtjylland 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 Betis 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
5 FC Porto 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
6 Braga 8 5 2 1 11:5 17
7 Freiburg 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
8 AS Roma 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
9 Genk 8 5 1 2 11:7 16
10 Bologna 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 5 0 3 15:9 15
12 Ferencvaros 8 4 3 1 12:11 15
13 Nottingham 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
14 Plzen 8 3 5 0 8:3 14
15 Crvena zvezda 8 4 2 2 7:6 14
16 Celta Vigo 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
17 PAOK 8 3 3 2 17:14 12
18 Lille 8 4 0 4 12:9 12
19 Fenerbahce 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
20 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
21 Celtic 8 3 2 3 13:15 11
22 Ludogorets 8 3 1 4 12:15 10
23 Din. Zagreb 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
24 Brann 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
25 Young Boys 8 3 0 5 10:16 9
26 Sturm Graz 8 2 1 5 5:11 7
27 FCSB 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
28 G.A. Eagles 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
29 Feyenoord 8 2 0 6 11:15 6
30 Basel 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
31 Salzburg 8 2 0 6 10:15 6
32 Rangers 8 1 1 6 5:14 4
33 Nice 8 1 0 7 7:15 3
34 Utrecht 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
35 Malmo FF 8 0 1 7 4:15 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 0 1 7 2:22 1
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)