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Nice vs AS Roma

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Allianz Riviera, Nice
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Kone M.
41'
El Aynaoui N.
41'
Ndicka E.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League 2025/2026 game between Nice and AS Roma finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Roma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Nice
28%
Draws
50%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: AS Roma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • AS Roma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AS Roma a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Nice Clean Sheet 16%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice AS Roma
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 1 0.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 Europa League
Nice vs AS Roma
1:2
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
AS Roma vs Nice
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

AS Roma Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndicka E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mancini G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice 23 / 100
AS Roma 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice AS Roma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nice scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Nice has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

AS Roma has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nice VS AS Roma
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.43
75% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice

(Home)
18 Jul
Nice
4 : 0
Nimes
29 May
Nice
4 : 1
St Etienne
26 May
St Etienne
0 : 0
Nice
22 May
Lens
3 : 1
Nice
17 May
Nice
0 : 0
Metz
Page 1 of 6

AS Roma

(Away)
24 May
Verona
0 : 2
AS Roma
17 May
AS Roma
2 : 0
Lazio
10 May
Parma
2 : 3
AS Roma
04 May
AS Roma
4 : 0
Fiorentina
25 Apr
Bologna
0 : 2
AS Roma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon870118:521
2Aston Villa870114:621
3Midtjylland861118:819
4Betis852113:717
5FC Porto852113:717
6Braga852111:517
7Freiburg852110:417
8AS Roma851213:616
9Genk851211:716
10Bologna843114:715
11VfB Stuttgart850315:915
12Ferencvaros843112:1115
13Nottingham842215:714
14Plzen83508:314
15Crvena zvezda84227:614
16Celta Vigo841315:1113
17PAOK833217:1412
18Lille840412:912
19Fenerbahce833210:712
20Panathinaikos833211:912
21Celtic832313:1511
22Ludogorets831412:1510
23Din. Zagreb831412:1610
24Brann82339:119
25Young Boys830510:169
26Sturm Graz82155:117
27FCSB82159:167
28G.A. Eagles82156:147
29Feyenoord820611:156
30Basel82069:136
31Salzburg820610:156
32Rangers81165:144
33Nice81077:153
34Utrecht80175:151
35Malmo FF80174:151
36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:221
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)