Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Carlos K.
Assist: Vanhoutte C.
29'
29'
Manzambi J.
Assist: Suzuki Y.
39'
39'
Grifo V.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Freiburg in this Europa League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freiburg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Freiburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Freiburg lately — more wins on the board than Nice.
- Model gives Freiburg a 58% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Nice Clean Sheet 10%
Freiburg Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nice | Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 18 |
| Draws | 11 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 6, 2025 Europa League
Nice vs Freiburg
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nice Compare
Top Goalscorer Carlos K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Freiburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Manzambi J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Scherhant D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nice 10 / 100
Freiburg 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nice Freiburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Freiburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Freiburg let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Nice stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Nice found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Nice VS Freiburg
0.5 Goals Scored 2.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Nice
(Home) 12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0 Nice
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1 Le Mans
30 Aug
Paris FC
3 : 0 Nice
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0 Lorient
15 Aug
Hull City
0 : 0 Nice
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1 Le Mans
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0 Lorient
18 Jul
Nice
4 : 0 Nimes
29 May
Nice
4 : 1 St Etienne
17 May
Nice
0 : 0 Metz
Page 1 of 3
Freiburg
(Away) 12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0 B. Monchengladbach
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1 Freiburg
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Werder Bremen
27 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Motherwell
23 Aug
Dusseldorf
1 : 5 Freiburg
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1 Freiburg
23 Aug
Dusseldorf
1 : 5 Freiburg
20 Aug
Motherwell
1 : 3 Freiburg
10 May
Hamburger
3 : 2 Freiburg
30 Apr
Braga
2 : 1 Freiburg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 9 | Genk | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvaros | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 14 |
| 14 | Plzen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:3 | 14 |
| 15 | Crvena zvezda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:14 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 22 | Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 10 |
| 23 | Din. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 24 | Brann | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 25 | Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 28 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 30 | Basel | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 31 | Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 33 | Nice | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 34 | Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:15 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
