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Nice vs Le Havre

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Allianz Riviera, Nice
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Wahi E.
41' Event
Samatta A.
Assist: Ndiaye R.
50'
Doucoure F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Nice
30%
Draws
31%
Le Havre
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Nice have won more games recently than Le Havre.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Nice taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Nice Clean Sheet 68%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice Le Havre
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 11 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.17 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs Le Havre
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Nice
3:1
Feb 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Nice
1:3
Dec 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Nice vs Le Havre
2:1
May 10, 2024 Ligue 1
Nice vs Le Havre
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nice Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Le Havre Compare

Top Goalscorer Samatta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice 50 / 100
Le Havre 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice Le Havre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Havre has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Nice went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Le Havre's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nice VS Le Havre
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice

(Home)
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
15 Aug
Hull City
0 : 0
Nice
08 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Nice
31 Jul
Juventus
2 : 0
Nice
25 Jul
Marseille
0 : 3
Nice
Page 1 of 6

Le Havre

(Away)
23 Aug
Le Havre
0 : 1
Monaco
15 Aug
Le Mans
0 : 1
Le Havre
08 Aug
Real Oviedo
3 : 2
Le Havre
04 Aug
Ipswich
1 : 0
Le Havre
31 Jul
Le Havre
1 : 1
Laval
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9 Toulouse 34 12 9 13 47:46 45
10 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48:51 45
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 29:48 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 32
17 Nantes 34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 17
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)