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Nice vs PSG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Allianz Riviera, Nice
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nice host PSG in the Ligue 1. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. PSG have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Nice have conceded 1.26 and scored 1.23. Head-to-head, Nice have won 1 to PSG's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.06) point toward PSG. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Nice
15%
Draws
47%
PSG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • PSG have won more games recently than Nice.
  • Win probability leans PSG's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Nice Clean Sheet 10%
PSG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice PSG
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 20
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.23 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs PSG
0:4
Nov 1, 2025 Ligue 1
PSG vs Nice
1:0
Apr 25, 2025 Ligue 1
PSG vs Nice
1:3
Oct 6, 2024 Ligue 1
Nice vs PSG
1:1
May 15, 2024 Ligue 1
Nice vs PSG
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice 10 / 100
PSG 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice PSG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nice scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: PSG conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Nice remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nice VS PSG
1.63 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice

(Home)
30 Oct
Nice
5 : 2
Rennes
23 Oct
Brest
1 : 2
Nice
18 Oct
Lyon
2 : 1
Nice
11 Oct
Nice
2 : 1
Strasbourg
20 Sept
Nice
2 : 1
Lille
Page 1 of 7

PSG

(Away)
03 Nov
Villarreal
0 : 6
PSG
30 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 5
PSG
26 Oct
PSG
2 : 0
Lyon
20 Oct
PSG
4 : 2
Barcelona
17 Oct
Strasbourg
1 : 3
PSG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Lyon 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
4 Paris FC 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
6 Marseille 9 5 0 4 20:13 15
7 Monaco 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Brest 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
11 Lorient 9 3 3 3 7:8 12
12 Toulouse 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Strasbourg 9 3 1 5 17:19 10
14 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
15 Angers 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
16 Troyes 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
17 Le Mans 9 1 4 4 11:18 7
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)