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Nice W vs Metz W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Abrogoua A.
37' Event
Bouktit A.
38' Event
Abrogoua A.

AI Match Summary

Nice W in this Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nice W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Nice W
30%
Draws
41%
Metz W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Metz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nice W lately — more wins on the board than Metz W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Nice W Clean Sheet 10%
Metz W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice W Metz W
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.22 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Nice W vs Metz W
4:3
Sep 7, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Nice W
1:2
May 11, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Nice W
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Nice W vs Metz W
1:1
May 12, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Nice W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nice W Compare

Top Goalscorer Abrogoua A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barrier I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Metz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouktit A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Munier L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice W 29 / 100
Metz W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice W Metz W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nice W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Metz W conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Nice W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Nice W scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Nice W VS Metz W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice W

(Home)
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Nice W
1 : 1
Cannes W
29 Aug
Nice W
3 : 2
Lille W
22 Aug
Nice W
1 : 2
Lens W
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Metz W

(Away)
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
29 Aug
Lens W
3 : 0
Metz W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)