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Nico United vs Black Lions

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nico United play Black Lions in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nico United averaged 0.93 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Black Lions averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Nico United won 2, Black Lions won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Nico United and 0.69 for Black Lions. This points to a Nico United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Nico United
30%
Draws
22%
Black Lions
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nico United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Nico United picked up more points recently compared to Black Lions.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Nico United Clean Sheet 28%
Black Lions Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nico United Black Lions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 12 6
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 0.93 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Nico United vs Black Lions
3:0
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League
Black Lions vs Nico United
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nico United 49 / 100
Black Lions 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nico United Black Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nico United or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nico United attacking → ← attacking Black Lions

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nico United scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Black Lions let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Nico United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Black Lions lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 27
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

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14Black Lions30761717:3827
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